Ignoring punctuation, spacing, and capitalization, a monkey typing letters uniformly at random has one chance in 26 of correctly typing the first letter of Hamlet.
It has one chance in 676 (26 times 26) of typing the first two letters.
Because the probability shrinks exponentially, at 20 letters it already has only one chance in 2620 = 19,928,148,895,209,409,152,340,197,376, roughly equivalent to the probability of buying 4 lottery tickets consecutively and winning the jackpot each time. I
n the case of the entire text of Hamlet, the probabilities are so vanishingly small they can barely be conceived in human terms. Say the text of Hamlet contains 130,000 letters (it is actually more, even stripped of punctuation), then there is a probability of one in 3.4×10183946 to get the text right at the first trial.
As Kittel and Kroemer put it, "The probability of Hamlet is therefore zero in any operational sense
2007-12-05
18:56:43
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26 answers
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asked by
realchurchhistorian
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