Let me be the first to point out that I give polls little to no credence but have repeatedly seen people post polls here and some who do it almost daily.
I did find this to be of interest and for those who do pay attention to polls, do you only post them and pay attention if it heralds your side? Also, based on this poll, do you think that our Presidential election is going to be closer than most people think?
Exerpts:
Clinton and Obama -- Drags on the Ticket?
September 23, 2007 12:44 PM
Very interesting Democratic poll, revealed in today's Washington Post, showing that GOP frontrunner Rudy Giuliani is more popular in key congressional Democratic swing districts than Obama or Clinton.
This would seem to show that despite enthusiasm among Democrats (and some in the media) for their candidacies, Obama and Clinton may not be as powerful in a general election match up as they may right now seem -- and in fact, may be a drag on the ticket in some areas, an argument Sen. John Edwards is trying to underline as he depicts himself as the more mainstream Democrat.
The Clinton and Obama campaigns dispute the findings, of course.
Link for article:
http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2007/09/clinton-and-oba.html
Link for poll:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/09/22/AR2007092201024_pf.html
A recent survey by Democratic pollster Celinda Lake, however, showed Clinton and Obama trailing former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani (R) in the 31 Democratic-held House districts regarded as most imperiled in 2008, and even potentially serving as a drag on those lawmakers' reelection chances.
The poll was conducted in August but has not been previously reported. It paints a "sobering picture" for Democrats, according to a memo by Lake and Daniel Gotoff that accompanies the poll report.
Giuliani takes 49 percent to Clinton's 39 percent, while the former mayor's lead over Obama is far smaller, 41 percent to 40 percent. "Despite Obama's relative advantage over Clinton, both candidates are significantly underperforming against the generic Democratic edge in the presidential and even against party identification," Lake and Gotoff wrote.
The news gets worse for Obama and Clinton as one delves deeper into the survey.
While the average lead of Democratic House members stands at 19 percentage points in the 31 vulnerable districts -- all but two of which are part of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's incumbent-protection program known as Frontline -- that number sinks considerably when the lawmakers are linked to either front-runner.
"Some people say [your Democratic incumbent] is a strong supporter of Hillary Clinton and will support her liberal agenda of big government and higher taxes if she becomes president," the poll stated, before asking respondents whether they would still vote for their incumbent or choose a Republican candidate.
Of interest, these are Democratic pollsters.
2007-09-24
03:54:36
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