Discussions around here often focus on this year or that. Or claims are made that, since we can't always predict the weather, we can't predict climate change.
But, in science, it is frequently true that short term data is not predictable, but long term is.
A classic example is radioactivity. Take a piece of lead-210. Look at individual atoms with an electron microscope. It is utterly impossible to predict whether or not any atom will decay in the next hour (although many of them will).
And nothing in science is more certain than that, in 22.3 years, half of the atoms will have decayed.
Global warming data is very much like that. Individual years are not predictable, but the long term average is. This graph is educational:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/Fig.A2.lrg.gif
2007-11-29
04:41:11
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Bob
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Global Warming