All data is taken from Realclearpolitics.com
PA Senate Casey vs Santorum (incumbent) 52.8 to 40.8 Note the margin of error puts Casey below 50%. Dems think this is in the bag. While Casey may be ahead, he does not have the 50% to win.
MT Tester vs Burns (incumbent) 47.7 to 45%. Statistical tie. Below 50%
OH Brown vs Dewine 53.5 vs 41.3%. The margin of error may put Brown over 50%. Still a lot of undecided people.
Do you see that this site is calling elections, without mentioning the margin of error? None of these races really tell anything. It looks like the Democrats are leading, but nothing can really be claimed from the statistics.
This is what the media does, report stories that they want to have happen. You have to have 50.1% plus the margin of error to be stastically winning. Above are 3 that are supposedly in the bag for the Dems and the polls actually say something very different.
Class dismissed. :)
2006-11-02
15:38:01
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17 answers
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asked by
Chainsaw
6