Is there any sort of a debate about who could pass Aaron and Bonds in the HR record list ?
Compiling a few stats, it is found that:
H. Aaron hit 755 HRs in 3298 games (32.8 HRs/game) during 23 seasons and retired at 42.
B. Bonds has 734 / 2860 (35.0) in 21 seasons and is currently 42.
A-Rod has 464 / 1746 (35.7) in 13 seasons and is 31.
A. Pujols has 250 / 933 (41.7) in 6 seasons and is 27.
If the A's stay healthy long enough, they should both pass 755. At their current pace, playing until 42 would lead them to 857 (A-Rod) and 875 (Pujols) respectively. If Pujols played 23 seasons like Aaron did, he'd reach 1000 ! But he'd be 45 at that time...
My guess is that A-Rod might break the record because its pace is higher than Bonds' or Aaron's and he started younger. Pujols might not keep his 40+ pace but high 30s will be enough to get past them all.
Of course, this is statistically-wise only not taking injuries into account. Also if A-Rod goes to the NL, his pace might go down.
2007-04-17
04:34:14
·
5 answers
·
asked by
blaisecollin
2