If somebody has a 25% chance of a heart attack within the next 10 years, what are the chances of their having such an attack in any given year ? Am I right that the answer = 25/10 = 2.5 ? Or have I made a statistical gaffe ?
Would the probability change as the 10 years progressed ? If someone with a 25% chance in 10 years hasn't had an attack by the 9th year, would they be more at risk in the final year ? I'm inclined to say 'no' but might a different probability apply to a random year from a final year when nothing had happened so far ? Excuse me, please, if the question is statistically ignorant.
Btw : the person isn't me.
2007-11-06
01:08:12
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1 answers
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asked by
Anonymous