Is a 75% chance of reaching 75 good odds?
2007-03-09 14:27:03 · 18 answers · asked by altered ego 3 in Health ➔ Diseases & Conditions ➔ Cancer
There are 4 smokers in my family in their 80's and one in his 90's. All are healthy, independent, active and very much alive. All still drive, but one should not. She can pay attention and all, but I swear the old girl can't see past the windshield wipers. Somehow she passed a re-test last year, but I have no clue how that happened. My father on the other hand did not smoke, but had a massive stroke and died at age 37.
2007-03-09 14:41:08 · answer #1 · answered by Anonymous · 1⤊ 0⤋
You're assuming that nonsmokers have a 100% chance of reaching 75. This is clearly not the case.
I don't know what the chances of a nonsmoker reaching 75 is, but using the CDC's Life Tables, a 30 year old white male has a 68% chance of reaching age 75. If a smoker's chances were 25% less than the general population, then he would only have a 51% chance of reaching age 75.
I would prefer the 68%.
2007-03-09 22:47:08 · answer #2 · answered by greymatter 6 · 0⤊ 0⤋
That's not bad, but that isn't what your stat mean.
The average life expectancy is around 75 - a bit higher actually, which means that the average person has a 50% chance of reaching 75. If a smoker is 25% less likely to reach 75 than a non-smoker, that would mean that smokers have a 37% chance of reaching that age.
That's all approximate because I don't know the exact life expectancies of non-smokers and smokers.
2007-03-09 22:38:10 · answer #3 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 0⤋
No its still a bad bet for 2 reasons. One is qulity of life. If you smoke and live to78 and i forgo tobacco and live to 80 it doesn't sound much different. But to get there the smoker may have 2 years of emphasyma and carrying an oxygen bottle and hes paid over $2000 a year his whole life for this priveledge.
2007-03-09 22:31:47 · answer #4 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 0⤋
Maybe, but it's the condition you'll be in from all of that smoking that's bad if you happen to reach it. Non-smokers are usually in better healthy as well as longer lived.
2007-03-09 22:30:42 · answer #5 · answered by marklemoore 6 · 0⤊ 1⤋
What you should really think about is, do you want something in your body the EPA considers acutely toxic hazardous waste. I believe that's what they call radioactive waste also, and that is just given to the nicotine in cigarettes, which is also used in chemical form as a pesticide. Nicotine is in every tobacco product, as it is a natural part of tobacco.
2007-03-09 22:39:05 · answer #6 · answered by o_cak 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋
If you think reaching 75 with emphysema, bad heart condition and/or lung cancer is great, yes, it is still 'good odds'.
2007-03-10 14:15:43 · answer #7 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 0⤋
haha, umm so you are saying that nonsmokers have a 100% chance of living to 75? Think about it.
2007-03-10 14:30:27 · answer #8 · answered by xoxoxo 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋
I'm not sure. But I heard there are people who ur 90 and above dont smoke or drink
2007-03-09 22:31:00 · answer #9 · answered by hidden- R 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋
ignorant people seem to live the longest. and if smokers are too ignorant to quit. the what does that tell you.
2007-03-09 22:31:27 · answer #10 · answered by water 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋