How soon would Iran topple from a full scale US military attack?

Question

I'm not trying to be an *** here, but I think it's pretty obvious if the US went to war with Iran, Iran is going to lose.... horribly. The question is, when? What factors do you think would come into play and how long do you think it would last until they raise the white flag?

Answer 1

I would say...a week, maybe two. More like a week.

Answer 2

The issue isn't how quickly can the US destroy a government. A few well placed nukes and the Swiss government is no more! There is no question that the use could topple the Iranian government and many Iranians would be greatful but...

The question is what problems will arise as a consequence of those actions?


The US had a lot of support going into Afghanistan and even though things aren't going that well there you don't here about it. The US then went into Iraq with little support and it's a hornet's nest. The US will have no support if it went after Iran now and given that between the first two invasions the military is already streched too thin no good will come of it.

(P.S. - They would never raise the white flag. They would go down fighting and look even more of a victim of American agression for doing so.)

Answer 3

When will it happen? All would say soon and maybe sooner than anyone thinks. However, this can be delayed for sometimes due to the alliance of Russia-China-Iran which been strengthened in the last few years. So, one would expect the US to clear the matter with Russia and China before they may start this attack. Once that’s achieved then no stoppage of the decision the US and Israel made months ago. How will we know it’s going to happen? If we started seeing so many of the West leaders visiting Russia and China, where the talk will be on “What will it take to keep you silent?” And Taiwan may become the main price to be paid. So to me, I think it will take still few months of negotiations (Not between the US and Iran but the West and Russia/China) before a day is set.

I agree Iran would lose on the long run but it’s hard to imagine this going as smoothly as you may think. Yes, the US has the air power and it will hit Iran hard with 1000s of sorties in the first few days, but Iran also has the power to hit back in Iraq, the US bases all around the Gulf, Israel in addition to moving its friends around the world, specially in Iraq and Lebanon, to retaliate in a big manner against all American interests. That if we go with the best case scenario where few 100,000s of Iranians die, in addition to 1000s of Americans, and their allies, in the Gulf and Iraq. If we went with the worst case scenario, with the current involvement of so many countries in this dilemma, then this can lead to a WWIII, if the US or Israel could not wait for the Russians and Chinese to provide their silent voice and those 2 decided to retaliate by China jumping on Taiwan and Russia moving into the old USSR countries.

As you see, nothing is certain. However, moving the Doomsday Clock forward does not seem like a good sign, but can be said it was due

Answer 4

It's a solid question. There are plenty of people within Iran who are hostile to the regime. The question is, would they join in with the invaders or make common cause against the invader with the regime loyalists? I think the regime could hold out for a few weeks at least, they could then organize mass resistance in urban areas and operate as guerrillas in remote areas after that. If mobs of unarmed people blocked the streets of Tehran, would the US be comfortable with mowing them down or driving over them? The real problem would be the occupation, just like Iraq.

Answer 5

10-12 minutes. Which would be the time between the first and last impact of our missless. An Ohio class submarine or three sitting in the Indian ocean, or even the Persian Gulf launchs their full compliment of D-5 Trident II missles would turn Iran into a sheet of glass. That is 'full scale' military attack we simply choose not to use the full capability of our military. In a convential attack we of course could win, but would likely end up in situation not unlike Iraq today.

Answer 6

We don't have the power right now to attack Iran, and they know it. Our military is way too involved in Afghanistan and Iraq. But if we ever went to war with Iran. It would be the OFFICIAL World War III. By entering Afghanistan we already stirred up a hornets nest in the Middle East.

Answer 7

While I support Mark's view above, you might also want to know that Iran is backed up by China, where they are in dire need of Iranian oil. Can you even imagine an Administration who would mindlessly irk China by attacking, and possibly toppling one of their main oil supplier? There's much at stake in this part of the world, and Iran was smart enough, much smarter than Iraq at that, to get under the Chinese umbrella prior to bragging the way their President currently does.

Answer 8

its BYE BYE time for america then
iran is more tough than it looks US forces might topple the military but not the govt if america goes to iran it will be another major humiliating loss for america because the locals hate america more than ever before and the iranians were pretty strong in the gulf war they overwhelmed the iraqi army it was only because of satellite images from usa that iran was defeated miserably

Answer 9

Well the thing about that is youre saying this from the standpoint that there would be a organizing faction that could put together an organized surrender on behalf of all the people there. I think what you mean is could the US military go in and destroy their government and infrastructure and see to it that those people have no light, heat, or electricity. The answer is probably, I really couldnt say with any degree of accuracy.

Answer 10

well it would depend on how the military was allowed to conduct the war. If politicians have to take every action to committees and discuss debate and argue every decision then it would go on for years.

You want it done right and fast, take politics and Polls out of the equation.

with allied support, strong resource and logistics set up.

and no "Hand-cuffing" of the forces involved I would believe we could potentially see victory in a few months, up to a year tops.

Iran is a very formidable nation however, so lets not underestimate their abilities, casualties would be much higher than what you see in Iraq.

Answer 11

i don't think of Israel will choose any help against Iran. Israel protection rigidity is fairly equipped and correctly experienced for a third worldwide country which includes Iran to be a topic. besides the undeniable fact that, i don't think of something will take place. those center East international locations % to rattle the swords and communicate difficult yet they be attentive to in the event that they bypass previous that they might ought to attend to the whole weight of the yank protection rigidity and it in no way ends properly for those backward international locations. Iran is acquainted with this, they are not a dumb human beings. They be attentive to that u.s. is close allies with Israel and if Israel does choose help, u.s. would be there. So, this risk will save Iran grounded. perhaps as quickly as American troops bypass away Iraq, Iran might make yet another run at Iraq for his or her oil reserves. we are going to see.