I think that the troubles in the Middle east stem from 2 things, oil and water; desired by US and Israel respectively.
I also think that one incident that needs to be re-looked at is the Hariri assasination. It is important to think who really killed him; who had to gain by killing him.
This was the trigger for a Syrian withdrawal from Lebanon, allowing Isreal to move in and wreck havoc, where they clashed with Hezbollah, supported by Iran, and where they are supposed to have used cluster bombs and new weapons (DIME) that they did not develop themselves.
These sides (US+Israel, Iran, Syria)are fighting a proxy war, and as long as the resources of one side are wanted by the other, then we will have conflict.
Bush will not stop is Axis of Evil threats because these keep him and the Republicans in power. He might be secretly talking to Iran, may be via proxies. This might even be part of the pull-out plan from Iraq.
Iraq is facing the real threat of civil war, and Turkey is threatening to intervene in the Kurdish North. If the US troops pull out and there is no other power in Iraq, Iraq could be invaded again, this time from the North. This could trigger a war with Iran, unless secret negociations are taking place, just like at Yalta.
I think that any pull-out of US troops from Iraq will have to involve, at least covertly, negotiations with Iran and Turkey. This would take care of the US side of the equation, allowing US access to Iraqi oil.
The case of Israel is different however. What they want is water. And Syria is a target. It will take all the diplomacy of the US to hold Israel slightly back. And this is necessary for the US to pull-out from Iraq.
Iran and Syria, if they are to cooperate on Iraq, will require the US to hold back Israel. And these negotiations between the US and Israel can even be couched as peacemaker-US again solving Middle East issues, specifically the Lebanon issue.
In sum, I think diplomacy will prevail. The US has access to oil, and now needs to pull-out from Iraq. And to do so, it needs Iran especially, to agree to a plan with Turkey. In exchange it will have to hold back Israel. Some of the negotiations will be overt, some covert, but the end-result is unlikely to be WW3.
2006-10-25 17:09:51
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answer #1
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answered by ekonomix 5
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Bush has blown it big on Iran if they really want nuclear energy for peacful purposes. We can help them with that, and by the way there is going to be a huge earthquake to strike Iran within the next four years, if they have operating nuclear plants it will be devestating. We have the technology to help them with that.
But newflash, not what anyone wants to hear, but they don't want peacful nuclear energy. They only have 70 million citizens, and they set on the largest oil deric in the world. They have no need for nuclear energy. They are, I believe afraid of America. We have helped them in some respects by eleminating two traditional enemies on their boarders; the taliban, and Saddam. But now we're there, and that scares them even more.
The second problem to diplomacy is that no promise they make is one that can be trusted. Your scenario might play out in a perfect world, but we all know the world isn't perfect. Iran is run by radical ultra theist who subscribe to the most extremely perverted brand of an estiological faith called Islam, and believe it is their divine repsonsiblity to bring about an apocalyptic end of days. They want a world war three. They've declared on three seperate occasions over the last year that one member state of the U.N. (Israel) should be physically wiped off the map with all its people. They have proofably lied to the European Union about their nuclear program, they fund Hezbollah upward to the toon of one hundred million dollars a year, and the President of that country says that he believe the messiah is coming back. They have agents in North Korea for their missile and nuclear test, and the only request America has put on Iran for one on one talks is that they stop enriching uranium, but they don't.
Newsflash again; this has nothing to do with the creation of palestinian state. Palestians are taught from youth that jews and christians are dogs, and prophet killers, and should be killed. So no matter what is done as long as racism is being taught, there will still be problems.
Iran does want a war, the question is- how envolved will Europe be in a war if one starts? In reality, were probably going to see limited strikes on their nuclear facilities, but not an all out war.
2006-10-25 16:02:23
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answer #2
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answered by billy d 5
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China and Russia mainly do not want a diplomatic solution because they are selling technology to Iran that helps them develop nuclear power and weapons. Just look at the materials found just after our invasion of Iraq, there were recent weapons from Russia in the hands of captured Iraqis and evidence of shipments up to days before the US led action. Neither Russia or China will go along with real diplomatic solutions with their current leadership because they make to much money trading with these terrorist sponsoring countries.
2016-05-22 14:28:36
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answer #3
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answered by Anonymous
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hello
WW3 will not happen because of Isreal or Iran, the fact is that Europe and America are so strong, that these countries no it, so this will not happens
Lets face it, most people in the world thought that WW3 would start after 11 September, but no, it thats the bigger countries will work together to quell the uprisings in the world.
There will be killings and fanatics but at the end of the day, the biggest threat in our lifetime of WW3 is of alliens coming from outer space
Humanity has learned, 55 milion died in WW2, that was enough
2006-10-25 15:37:31
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answer #4
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answered by The brainteaser 5
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i dont think the west is that strong ... u think the us has won the iraq war ... hell no it has just began ...these guys know they cant take america head on so they let them in and screw them 4m cover ,,, like benjamin martin .. he never fought the british head to head except on a few occasions .. so it may easily break loose and with growing threats ... 4m n okrea and iran ..if syria is in too the whole us will be in a full time war ... tats pretty bad a lot of lives will be smoked ...
2006-10-25 16:15:03
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answer #5
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answered by hezaz007 2
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North Korea and Iran are problems there both extremely nutty countrys with nuke weapons at hand.ww3 is possable.We will never get rid of these wars until religon is stoped cause lets face it race & religon are major factors of hate and war throught the world.
2006-10-25 18:02:45
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answer #6
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answered by Anonymous
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america is **** scared the jewish people will pull their money out of the american economy so they will always do israels bidding no matter what and the money men in both the oil and arms industry in america really control what happens in the middle east bush just goes along for the pocket change
2006-10-27 02:15:49
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answer #7
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answered by Anonymous
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The only answer is for Israel to stop attacking their neighbors and to comply with UN resolution242 to return the territory they stole in 1967
2006-10-25 18:48:48
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answer #8
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answered by brainstorm 7
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