What are the statistical odds of life evolving naturally?

Question

And where can I find how it's figured out?

Answer 1

100% certain... we're here aren't we?!

The interesting bit is the start, how the first cells capable of transmitting replicators got going. There are no compelling answers to how this came about. So if you want to stick a deity in the mix you can do it there. But "a god done it" is never a satisfying answer and always gives way to a rational explanation at some point in the future. Remember, it also only had to happen once (so even a small probability stretched over a large enough time and space becomes likely).

But once the replicators (DNA/RNA or other) got going, along with a bit of mutation, a lot of time, and some luck (e.g. around extinction events), there was no stopping things.

Sorry I'm not giving numbers for the beginnings of life, but numbers are meaningless if we don't actually know what sequence of events was required to give rise to life. However, since I am confident the steps are all natural, I stand by my 100%!

Answer 2

The true odds of this are simple to compute . Either it did happen through natural evolution ( electro chemical reactions evolving into a life form ) or it didn't . This is because you are predicting an event that already happened . did the roulette ball land on 7 or not ? It did or it didn't / You are not predicting IF it will land on 7 while all choice are in play . ( for instance there could HAVE been life on all planets , or only underwater life forms , etc .) We only have two choices of what happened . Creationism or natural evolution . So the odds are 50-50 .

sdb , people like you keep repeating nonsense in the hope that someone will mistake it for fact . A simple disproof of your assertion . WHen you breed certain animals for temperment their fur displays vastly different coloring in the next generation or two ! This coloring indicates more agressive animals , more domesticated animals , and so forth .

Answer 3

Do you mean evolving like a wolf evolved into a whale?

Or do you mean like how one animal becomes slightly different from its species by natural selection?

The rugged statistical odds of life naturally evolving from like a frog to a mammal occur every few hundreds of millions of years.

Natural selection, where one type of animal from the same species is chosen by nature to survive, happens pretty periodically.

When a canyon seperate animals, the animals on both sides become differnt species when nature selects one type to survive in one enviornment versus another.

There is no numerical odds, if that's what you're asking. There is no new species that jumps forth from a certain birth. Like a lucky lottery winner in nature.

Answer 4

Do you mean evolving from non-living matter into the first amino acids, proteins, cells, etc.? If so, the odds will be to the EXTREME.

Don't know exactly where you can find this out. Try Wikipedia.org and use the sites search engine. Wikipedia is a free on-line encyclopedia.

Answer 5

The statistical odds of life occurring spontaneously is essentially zero. The odds of a beneficial mutation in a species that becomes a prominent characteristic within that species is also essentially zero.

Answer 6

Nobody can say but it is more likely than some old man with a white beard sitting on a cloud

Answer 7

Something to the sixteenth zero, or impossible. Chuck Missler has a briefing pack on this. Check him out on line at koinia house or just search by his name.

Answer 8

life DID evolve naturally, so the answer is a statistical certainty, or one in one.

Answer 9

100%
But evolution does not explain the creation of the universe or the creation of the first living thing.

Once life exists, evolution can explain all the variations we see.

Answer 10

Your curiosity may be answered by a study of the Ra materials.