What is the mathematical probability of 100 monkeys on keyboards typing this question correctly?

Question

This is an example of the kind of probability it would take for some simple form of Evolution to occur.

A complex form of Evolution like The Human Eye would be more like 100,000 monkeys trying to type War & Peace.

How mathematically probable/possible is it. There comes a point when probability is absurd and is in essence impossible. Just like the Evolution of our entire planet. It is an absurd obsolete theory.

Answer 1

Wow.

I guess you can use numbers to prove anything.

84% of people know that.

Itso. Fatso.

Answer 2

Chances are similar to Sir Fred Hoyle's report in or around 1981 when he stated that (referring to evolution):

"The chances that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable with the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junk yard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials within".

Sir Fred was an atheist who later in life came to the conclusion that the high degree of order in the universe demanded pre-existing intelligence.

I like the obsolete theory bit, there is a book out called: Evolution a Theory in Crisis, which tells more truth than we shall ever hear from people who sadly support the evolution lie.

Answer 3

The argument is that if an *infinite* amount of monkeys were typing on an *infinite* amount of typewriters that they would be able to complete the entire works of Shakespeare within an hour. It's an argument for probability of infinites, not evolution. There are flaws and limitations to this however as you would need an infinite amount of space, an infinite amount of resources, food etc, and also they would produce an infinite amount of excrement... Phee-ew!

It would be possible but not by 100 monkeys or even 10,000 most likely. Impossible or negligible are frowned upon in probability terms, as that means there is NO CHANCE of them being able to do it, which simply isn't true.

Answer 4

Nevertheless, one need only look at all the evidence supporting the theory of evolution to come to the conclusion that no matter how improbable it is, it is still exactly what happened.

By the way, what criteria are you using to determine the probability of evolution? Do you have a model to compare the development of life on Earth to? For all you know, the odds could favor life and evolution.

Answer 5

Given adequate time, it is guaranteed with one monkey. Of course the real trick is that there is more that one question. How long will it take 100 monkeys at the keyboard to come up with a good question? Probably less time than you.

Answer 6

You have no idea what you are talking about. Creationist rhetoric bores me. Evolution of the human eye by natural selection has do with millions of genetic "hits and misses" over billions of years. It did not happen "One way" therefore you cannot claim that the probability of the human eye evolving is ridiculous!

Plus the human eye is a bad example. The octopus eye is much better evolved than humans. Why would God create octopus eyes better than humans? Maybe he likes octopus more?

Answer 7

If I go by all the spelling errors on this forum, then it is higher than the probability of 100 humans typing in their questions correctly

Answer 8

Please find an original argument that makes sense.
This argument has been refuted SO many times.

Better yet, if you want to dispute the theory of evolution, try to find some legitimate evidence that points in any direction OTHER than evolution. If you were able to find even ONE single piece of legitimate evidence pointing in any direction other than evolution, the entire evolutionary theory would have to be scrapped by the scientific community. Isn't that the creationist dream? And yet, no one's been able to do it.

Answer 9

You don't really understand much about evolution do you?

Irreducible complexity, especially of the eye has been refuted thouroughly.

And Ihate to ask, but what better theory is there? Which theory do you support which has more empirical evidence and is observable directly?

Answer 10

Given a couple million years it is very probably that 100 monkeys typing continously, for SEVERAL MILLION YEARS would reproduce this sentence. And since life started on this plante 4.1 BILLION years ago, species evolve.

Answer 11

You're right. That occurrence is something that would only happen like once in 13 billion years. Luckily, however, the universe has been around for 13 billion years, and as expected, it happened once.