Anything's possible, here's my prediction:
We have the military capability to attack Iran's nuclear facilities.
If the current diplomatic efforts to get Iran to suspend its nuclear fuel enrichment activities do not work, it is inevitable that at some stage, attention will be turned to discussion of a military option. That means an air attack against Iran's nuclear facilities by the US and/or Israel.
The US could certainly carry out such an attack, with cruise missiles and with B-2, other Stealth bombers and B-52 bombers armed with satellite guided bombs. However Iran's nuclear plants are widely spread out and one is buried deep underground, so an attack would need to be sustained and wide-ranging. Israel might also be able to do it. Not long ago it bought some bunker-busting bombs from the US, but it would be much more of a challenge.
The timetable is uncertain but an assessment by the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) in Washington says that Iran might be able to assemble enough centrifuges by the end of this year, and enrich significant amounts of fuel by 2008. Those could be the red lines for the US and Israel (leaving aside the discussion that this will be Bush's last year in office and is he that goofy to want to leave a lasting legacy??).
If Iran chose to do so, it could be in a position to build a bomb by 2009 or 2010. Both the US and Israel have probably made contingency plans for an attack, that goes without saying. That would be no surprise.
What will be Iran's, Russia's and China's response...? Iran will retaliate, against US interests in Iraq and the Gulf, and might use the militant group Hezbollah in southern Lebanon to attack Israel. The region could be in uproar.
The UNIMAGINABLE but ultimately inescapable truth is that we are going to have to get ready for war with Iran.
Tehran threatended the US with 'harm and pain' for hauling them before the UN Security Council over its nuclear program. The rapidly intensifying crisis is like a train on a collision course.
While we were chasing phantom nukes in Mesopotamia, next door, Iran was busy building real ones.
The unavoidable reality is that we now need urgently to steel ourselves to the ugly probability that diplomacy will not now suffice, one way or another, unconsciounable acts of war may now be unavoidable.
Those who say war is unthinkable are right. Those who say the US should not send young boys to die in the Middle East far from home are right. Those who say war will foster more violence in the Middle East are right.
Military strikes, even limited, targeted and accurate ones, will have devastating consequences for the region and for the world.
All the argument against a strike are fearfully powerful. But multiplied together, squared, and then cubed, the weight of these arguments do not come close to matching the case for us to stop, by whatever means necessary, Iran from becoming a nuclear power.
If Iran gets safely and unmolested to nuclear status, it will be a threshold moment in the history of the world, up there with the Bolshevik Revolution and the coming of Hitler.
Iran has stated that they will 'wipe Israel off the face of the map." They've stated that the 'holocaust was fake.' And the kind of society we live in and cherish in the West will change beyond recognition if Iran becomes nuclear. We balk now at intrusive government measures to tap our phones or other intrusions into our civil liberties. Imagine how much more our freedoms will be curtailed if our government's fear we are just one telephone call or e-mail, one plane journey or truckload away from another Hiroshima.
2007-10-30 08:41:48
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answer #1
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answered by Its not me Its u 7
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War often settles an immediate problem, but it raises all sorts of unforseen issues. Nobody can really know if the Russians or Chinese would involve themselves.
From a logistical and practical standpoint, only the Russians could sufficiently mass and project a credible force into the region. Even then, it would be difficult for them. I would discount the Chinese. They might be up to supporting the Iranians covertly (like the Iranians are doing now in Iraq and Afghanistan or we did in Afghanistan against the USSR in the 80's) or causing trouble for us in some other sector of the world, but since we are their largest trading partner, they would have more to lose.
My bet is that we won't go to war against Iran and so we won't have to worry about the other unforseen problems such a brash act would cause.
Regards
2007-10-29 15:57:35
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answer #2
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answered by oda315 4
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I think people underestimate the education of the Iranian populace. I've heard of Americans entering the country and having nothing but a great time, discussing how many Iranians view their leader in a similar fashion to how most Americans view theirs, a bumbling idiot, and have said they would probably get along great with how stupid they both are.
I don't remember the specific account I heard that example from, but it was from an American comedian posing as a representative for a book company or something (he was advised not to let the Iranian gov official he had "escorting" him know he had anything to do with the media by his guide)
Not that any of this matters since the opinions of the people in both cases don't seem to matter whatsoever.
2007-10-29 16:32:30
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answer #3
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answered by nothats o 3
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Iran poses a much greater threat to the world that Iraq did or N. Korea, but any type of force used against them must be multilateral or it will spark intense hatred of the United States.
2007-10-29 15:35:56
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answer #4
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answered by smp 2
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1. Cheney would wet his pants (Halitburton stocks rise)
2. Cheney's wife would wet hers ( Lockheed stocks rise)
3. Rumsfeld would get a bone hard erector set and come back as Idiot of Defense, pardon, Secretary of it ends, damn.
4. Bush would fly on the deck of a carrier, with a Superman suit.
5. The USA would go bankrupt
6. Iranians would lose 10 Million people and give birth to 20 Million.
7. Nobody in the world would give a damn about the following political fallout for the USA.
8. The Pentagon would need extra loads of tissue for the ejaculating Generals
2007-10-29 15:50:14
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answer #5
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answered by Anonymous
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The US cant afford another war because its destroying our economy.So i think Israel will most likely bomb Irans nuclear facilitys.If China and Russia attack Israel, i think it says in the Bible,but dont quote me, that they will all be destoyed by the hand of God.If you believe in that kind of thing.
2007-10-29 15:47:55
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answer #6
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answered by Anonymous
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If we don't attack them and they continue their nuclear proliferation, then we only prolong WWIII and they then have a nuclear arsenal.
Stop them now or try later. Russia and China would rattle sabers but not fight with them.
2007-10-29 15:34:26
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answer #7
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answered by Nvr2soon 6
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Yes
2007-10-29 15:30:58
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answer #8
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answered by Anonymous
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Yes along with Syria, North Korea, and a variety of other nations.
2007-10-29 15:34:18
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answer #9
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answered by joe sniffy 2
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well the us did kill 65,234 child under the age of 18 in iraq so i guest they wouldn't care invading a nation of 70 million
more children to kill right !!!
2007-10-29 21:16:50
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answer #10
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answered by V-8 BLAST 1
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