A few decades ago we were warned of a growing hole in the ozone layer. We responded by reducing CFC emissions, and have essentially solved the problem.
In 1999 we were warned of potential computer crashes due to the Y2K bug. We responded by fixing the computer software and solved the problem.
In the 1970s few scientists warned of an imminent ice age
http://www.wmconnolley.org.uk/sci/iceage/
but one crude climate simulation (supported by a computer program witten by James Hansen) showed that if sulfur dioxide emissions continued to increase at the rate they had been as of 1970, they could eventually trigger an ice age.
This was a reasonable conclusion, because the SO2 emissions had been causing global cooling from 1940-1970, but our SO2 emissions peaked in 1980 and have been declining ever since. See pages 12-14 here:
http://www.pnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-14537.pdf
So again we solved the problem.
Is this not the case for CO2 now?
2007-10-23
06:33:44
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4 answers
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asked by
Dana1981
7
in
Environment
➔ Global Warming
eric - try reading your own articles in the future.
"Despite successful measures that have stopped production of CFCs, scientists don¹t expect to see the hole significantly reduce in size for about another decade, Newman says. This is due to the long lifetimes of CFCs already in the atmosphere, ranging from 40 to 100 years. Full recovery is expected in about 2070."
And the very minor solar irradiance decrease in the mid-20th century played a very small role in the global cooling at the time. If your explanation were true, we should have seen global cooling from 1980-Present.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Climate_Change_Attribution.png
2007-10-23
07:27:29 ·
update #1