How many new independent states do you expect to see in Europe in the near or reasonably near future?

Question

If Serbian hearthland KOSOVO may (according to some irresponsible views) become Second Albanian Independant State, could it be the same case with Euskadi (Pays Basque), Northern Ireland, Scottland, South Tyroll, Catalonia, Sadinia, Calabria, Wales, South Slovakia, Transylvania, Pridnestrovie, Abhazia, Osetia, Florida, Kurdistan, Illyrida, Gradisce (Austria), Thrace (Bulgaria), Chamurria (Greece), Northern Cyprus, Quebec, Rio Grande do Sul.........(PLEASE ADD ANY SIMILAR CASE WHICH OCCASIONALLY I MIGHT HAVE OMMITED!!!)?

And IF YES, please try to state - base on WHAT?

Yorkshire Liberation Army, unlike Kosovo Liberation Army, has NEVER been officialy declared a Terrorist Organisation and has NEVER declared war to England nor performed any act of hostility, thus Yorkshire does NOT count into the list!!!
....
Yorkshire Liberatin Army?!....or was it Salvation Army....Nevertheless, Yorkshire does not cout!

Answer 1

Your list is .. .. .. interesting. But I notice one glaring exception - Yorkshire, currently (but only just) part of England and thus of the United Kingdom of Great Britain & Northern Ireland.

Yorkshire Liberation Army? They're a joke. A guerilla or terrorist group is NOT required to gain independence - just examine quite a few of the newly independent European nations.

The political force that is paving the way for Yorkshire's independence is the White Rose Independence Society & Trust (WRIST), whose motto is, "Cry Independence for Truman, Yorkshire and St Boycott!" (It's a little known fact that Will Shakespeare were but a Yorkshire lad, born in Tadcaster).

Answer 2

Wallonia and Padania come to mind. The former born out of the fracturing of Belgium and the latter from the fracturing of Italy. I narrow it to these two because they have the best potential of going it alone, after parting company with their current national regimes. Most of the others don't have that potential. They see the creation of Slovakia (for example) as a great error.

Answer 3

The catch here is that same rules do not apply to different countries. International agreements, like those made on UN level, are subject to relativization by powerful countries, like with the Helsinki Agreement, or like with Resolution 1244 for example. Powerful countries try to put themselves even above international courts of law even if that makes them political criminals, like is the exaple with USA which does that simply by breathing. Weak countries try to hold to international agreements hoping that the stronger countries would realize the potential long term repercution of relativizing such... When it falls to the hands of Kofi type monkeys, the outcome is clear...

Politics is above philosophy, ethics, and even above international law. The only clear rule in politics is the rule of the bigger fish against the smaller, followed by tricks, deceiving, destruction...

Perhaps each case from your list should be discussed separately, because as much as they may appear same or similar, there are always substantial differences, and there are always political shadows under which we stand when judging.

If Spain has stood behind Kosovo's independence, then I would go for independent Pays Basque and Catalonia. I would go for any single corner in Great Britain seeking independence, I would even go for the disintegration of entire f..... Europe for having supported the terrorists in my country. My heart will never rest until I see Europe suffering the same sanctions, humiliation, satanization, depleted uranium effects and destruction it applied over my people.

Your list went beyond Europe, even though you probably wrote this in context of the European integration process. This process is contradictory to the independence movements. Hmm, is it? Are we bound to regroup when degrouped? What will the future tell us?

Answer 4

as it stands now is more of economic than political union.

there will be always minorities claiming independence or autonomy, but the market law will take of the problem. often times those new states don't have clues the cost of running a country.

Answer 5

Nah,Europe learned it's lesson in WW2 that deunification was the problem not the solution.If Europe got stupid though then yeah there would be lot's of new states.

Answer 6

Independent?? Once they accept the laws of the EU their independence is gone......