On Sportsbook.com Ron Paul and Mitt Romney have the same odds of winning the election at 8-1.
It is clear to me that both these candidates get different treatment and they both have the same odds of winning.
Please tell me some of the groups that stand to lose if Ron Paul is elected and who is behind the bias?
2007-09-25 04:34:06 · 12 answers · asked by needliberty 2 in Politics & Government ➔ Elections
The new GOP, Paul is a true conservative, something that most Republicans in Congress are not. His poll numbers in New Hampshire are beginning to rise and he is translating his online popularity into $ as he will raise close to $1million online this week mainly in small contributions. If he shows well in New Hampshire, he will have to get attention and may have a chance because his message is far superior to that of any of the other candidates.
2007-09-27 10:41:15 · answer #1 · answered by answerman88 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Let me preface my remarks that I am neither a Dem or a Rep, and that I have nothing personally invested on his winning the election (or losing it, either).
First, you have to recognize that he is out of lockstep with the Republican Party's current political apparatus. As it stands now, the Party is largely run by highly conservative apparatchiks, and has been so since the early 90's. This means that most rank and file Republicans are a good deal more moderate than those running it. As a result, Ron Paul is anathema to them--first because he does not support the war in Iraq and is a social moderate, and second because he comes in not as a traditional Republican.
Second, Mr. Paul has little public support because Republicans do not traditionally nominate mavericks or radicals to represent the Party in the general election. The last man who fell into that category was Barry Goldwater in 1964 and he lost badly to Lyndon Johnson (he only won 48 electoral votes and less than 40% of the popular vote). Republicans as a general rule play it safe.
Third, Mr. Paul's more traditional brand of conservatism articulates the notion of a more isolationist America. That is not a winning formula in this day and age, but there are potential big losers should he be elected: mostly large corporations that operate internationally and have depended traditionally on American governmental support to forward their business interests abroad. The potential, too, for greater controls on the American market means that foreign corporations who operate in the U.S. may potentially suffer as well through greater strictures, regulations and possibly tarriffs.
The confluence of business and Republican Party antagonism towards Mr. Paul makes his nomination highly unlikely. 8-1 is a sucker bet--I'd put him at around 15-1.
Cheers.
2007-09-25 04:50:29 · answer #2 · answered by blueevent47 5 · 3⤊ 2⤋
If Ron Paul is elected, major oil concersn will lose pretty fast. The industrial groups currently profiting from our "war" will lose almost immediately with the cancelation of production contracts.
Most if not all contractors who obtained "no bid" contracts would be out the door.
Every group wanting to further erode our bill of rights would be in limbo.
The IRS would be a big loser.
And the list goes on and on.
Basically Ron Paul would attempt to restore our government and country to what was envisioned in the Constitution.
2007-09-25 04:40:12 · answer #3 · answered by afreshpath_admin 6 · 6⤊ 1⤋
Ron Paul is. I don't know about Sportsbook, but Ron Paul is purely an internet phenomenon. I may vote for him, because I support many of his ideas, but I know he won't win. Why? Because the internet is not America.
The groups that stand to lose are the other candidates.
2007-09-25 04:48:21 · answer #4 · answered by Pfo 7 · 1⤊ 1⤋
Ron Paul is not perceived as electable nor desirable by enough voters in his party. His odds are not 8-1. At this late stage you must rely much more on poll numbers in which he badly trails. Then compare his poll numbers to historical data regarding past candidates who trailed that badly with two months to go until the primary and that is a better indicator of Ron Paul's odds. His odds are all but insurmountable at this late stage. In fact if all the other current candidates suddenly pulled out of the race, it is still not likely he would receive the nomination. It would most likely go to some other well known Republican who is not currently running.
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2007-09-25 04:43:39 · answer #5 · answered by Jacob W 7 · 2⤊ 5⤋
Ron Paul himself
2007-09-25 04:36:56 · answer #6 · answered by Chris 5 · 1⤊ 5⤋
Who and WHAT is behind it..?
What: Public IGNORANCE. MISINFORMATION. LIES.
That is the largest factor that is a challange to Ron Paul's success.
2007-09-25 04:50:21 · answer #7 · answered by Think Richly™ 5 · 3⤊ 1⤋
The GOP, the mainstream media and Corporations.
2007-09-25 11:42:35 · answer #8 · answered by Anonymous · 1⤊ 1⤋
It is not bias. He cannot be even nominated let alone elected.
2007-09-25 07:38:05 · answer #9 · answered by Anonymous · 1⤊ 1⤋
All you have to do his read his stances and voting record somewhere other than his website. You will answer your own question.
2007-09-25 04:44:58 · answer #10 · answered by Anonymous · 3⤊ 1⤋