Are "instant hurricanes" like Humberto going to be the new norm on our changing planet?

Question

Hurricane Humberto came out of nowhere. People had no time to prepare or evacuate. Are these "instant hurricanes" going to be more common in this age of global warming?

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2003883852_storm14.html

Answer 1

I don't think it came out of "nowhere". I'm sure a few days prior they saw it swelling out there, but couldn't track or predict it. I really believe global warming plays a huge factor in weather conditions. I think weather will start getting worse. As for hurricanes right now, they are influenced by warm waters and jet streams and wind shear. If a front is moving along where a hurricane is heading, the hurricane will be moved out to sea. There is a lot worse weather now than I can remember even 10 years ago. Where I live tho, we don't see as much snow as we used to when I was a teenager. Not that I have any problems with that.

Answer 2

Humberto did not come out of nowhere. It came from the same place all hurricanes, tropical storms, tropical depressions etc come from - the Atlantic Ocean, off the coast of Africa. And it did not come with out warning. The system was tracked from start to finish. Such quick strengthening is not that unusual in late season Gulf hurricanes, there have been several in my life. The mechanism is well understood. This is certainly not something new.

And Humberto was only a catagory one storm when it came ashore. I have lived through several of these, usually without even missing work. They are really nothing more than a really bad rain storm.

Answer 3

Humberto came out of the gulf coast. It didn't materialize from nothing.

You fell for the spin of the marketing department for global warming. Humberto was nothing as far as hurricanes go. It had to be made into something that it wasn't.

This is how global warming is funded.

Answer 4

I am not sure I would equate a rapidly forming hurricane on the tail of a "cold front" in mid September as a global warming signal.

EDIT:

Hurricane frequency and intensity has been declining over the last fifty years, in direct contrast to climate predictions. Does this mean that global warming does not exists?

Answer 5

Hurricane Humberto was unusual in respect of the speed at which it developed. However, it wasn't that much of a surprise as it's a known consequence of global warming. It's something that has been both predicted and observed for several decades now.

In a nutshell, a warmer planet and oceans makes for more conducive hurricane spawning environments. We would expect to see, and indeed we have seen, an increase in the trend of frequency and intensity.

In future we can expect to see these trends continuing with more hurricanes of greater severity and rapid development.

'Trend' in climatic terms refers to periods of decades as opposed to months or years, there's unlikely to be a rapid change in hurricane behavioural patterns but a progressive change over many years.

Answer 6

The frequency of major hurricanes has been at a minimum during the late 1960s to early 1990s, so it is inevitable that they will increase to a normal level.

Answer 7

it's another example of the "unusual" happening. Weather patterns and types are changing - that flooding in England, that tornado in New York, tornado in California... there's probably going to be more changes coming - watch for them.

Answer 8

all this proves is that weather cant be predicted accurately. Weather can change at any minute without warning.

Answer 9

Yes, I have heard that all around the globe we are in for more severe weather patterns due to global warming.

Answer 10

I believe so...if you view reports put out by scientists around the world, they have come to the conclusion and can say with most certainty, that we are going to have more tropical storms.

go to this site, it has more details:

http://www.ipcc.ch/