If the US exits from Iraq and the gov. falls apart, can another country enter Iraq and set up their gov/ laws?

Question

There are talks about exiting Iraq and consequences of exiting. Among those consequences is ethnic cleansing and total Iraqi government break down. If the US retreats could another country enter Iraq and use the ethnic cleansing and violence as an excuse for them to enter the now extremely vulnerable Iraq and severly cripple them with the type of bombing and force that usually opens most wars?

Will this allow them to set up their own backed government and laws the way the US is currently trying to do in Iraq and secure their rights to the oil reserves?

Answer 1

The most obvious result is Iran will move in with Al Queda becoming a permanent fixture. It will not be easy though as the Sunni's, backed by Saudi Arablia who can not allow Iran to take over Iraq, will fight the Iranian Shites. This will draw in Syria, Kuwait, and a variety of other Arab countries. Ultimately Israel may have to get involved out of their own self interest. Likely millions will die. We left Viet Nam, not because we were beaten but because the political environment in the US made it impossible to stay (we are moving that way in Iraq) When we pulled out approximately 5-7 million people lost their lives in Viet Nam and Cambodia. Expect twice that number in the Middle East and that's if it doesn't go nuclear.

Answer 2

I would bet that Iran would cross the border as soon as the last Coalition boot was off the ground. There is no doubt in my mind that Iran would try and take over. I can't say the same for the other surrounding countries (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Jordan, Syria, Turkey). But I figure Turkey would probably go all out in the north and try to exterminate their Kurdish terrorist problem, but not take the land.

If Iran tried to take over they would see similar problems that the Coalition is seeing. Even though most insurgents are foreign fighters (ie. not from Iraq), you would see insurgents and Iraqi people fighting the Iranians because they would represent an occupying force. Plus the Persians (Iranians) are different from the Arabs, they don't like each other either.

Answer 3

I'm sure that Iran is jockeying for exactly this to happen.

Who cares about "should"? Everyone already knows that the UN will do nothing because China will prevent the Security Council from taking any action [because they'll happily buy the oil].

Another interesting question is whether anyone else is also jockeying for exactly the same to happen?

It might be that KSA also wants this to occur and the Turks would be interested in at least suppressing attacks from Kurds in the north.

Who knows? maybe they'll make a cozy deal to divide Iraq between them in the same fashion as Hitler and Stalin divided Poland in 1939.

:\

Why do you think we're still there?

Answer 4

This is an odd question!
If you were to consider that a Western country was able to take control of Iraq through millitary means, under the premis of searching for WMD.
You must then assume that any country could enter Iraq, take control and insert it's own will, once the US has left!
Why not?

Answer 5

$400 billion in Iraq is a drop in the bucket compared to the 2 or 3 trillion dollars spent every year

Answer 6

no other country should enter after US exits.but its extremely vulnerable with the chaos within the country becos of different sects of muslims

Answer 7

funny thing, oil reserves.
they have no actual bearing on tribal rivalries.
iran, would in a heartbeat, enter and crush all sunnis and kurds and any shiite that stood in their way.

Answer 8

Neighboring warlords will duke it out and another Saddam will take control.

Answer 9

What do you think Iran has been waiting for?