How long without a new 'hottest year on record' before we can start calling it "global warmth"

Question

Warm-ING would imply that it keeps getting warmer - - the hottest year on record was 1998.

It's been about nine years now folks.

The whole thing's been going on now for only about 120 years.

So, it warmed for 111 years, it has plateaued since...... I don't know, I wouldn't give it more than a few more years, five tops, before there's a clear pattern there.

Julie go home to your momma. That's not gonna fly here - "oh, we have no argument so we'll call the other side, oh let's see, no we used racist yesterday, we used selfish last week, big corporate fat cat a month ago - - - - oh oh oh how about stupid!"

Yeah that works. You people can't back up a thing you assert.

Ken the Dow has been up and down - that's one index.

Actually 2007 is supposedly projected to be the second warmest. Get your facts up to date folks.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070629/ts_nm/climate_weather_dc

Besides none of you answered the question - - - how long before we start calling it global warmth? 15 years? 20?

Seriously if we get to 2012 and 1998 was still the hottest year - - - I mean with every year my case gets stronger because we keep adding to the concentration of CO2, yet it keeps not being the hottest year - - and certainly nothing else is happening, not on a year-by-year scale....

El Nino is a regional weather pattern - - - it doesn't make sense that that would affect the global average temperature, unless you're taking some subset of it - the lower atmosphere or the surface, not both - - - which would make no sense given that both are below this CO2 blanket upon which you blame this event.

Answer 1

"Global warming" won't stop until the communists in power control every aspect of our lives.

No one will be allowed to drive SUV's - except those in power. We have to watch OUR energy consumption - they can just "buy" their way out of it through credits. We must limit how much driving we do and how often we fly - they can come and go wherever they please without hesitation. God forbid, we call THEM on their behavior.

They will tax us to death with consumption and fuel taxes while they get incentives.

Wake up people - communism is not dead.

Answer 2

The hottest year on record was 2005, 1998 was the second hottest. 2007 is on target to be the new hottest year on record, the winter period has been the hottest even and the spring period ties with 1998 for third place, overall it's been the warmest six month start to a year. http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt

Global warming is about long term trends, a single year or even a few years can be anomalies caused by a number of factors. For example, in 1992 and 1993 the world cooled following the massive eruption of Mount Pinatubo, this put so much sulphur dioxide into the atmosphere that it cooled the planet. Once the SO2 had dissipated the warming trend resumed.

What's more relevant than looking at a single year is to look at the trends, by doing so we see that every one of the hottest years on record have occured recently and you have to go way back to 1976 to find the last time that global average temperatures were below average.

The pattern, which is a remarkably clear one, is that the world is warming up and has been for the last 200+ years http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/Image:1000_Year_Temperature_Comparison_png there has been no levelling off of temperatures - quite the opposite.

Bear in mind as well, the average global temperature is rising by just 0.0177°C per year and that global warming doesn't mean it will get hotter each and every year, it's all about trends; not one off events.

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Re your added details. 2007 is on target to be the hottest year on record. So far the average global temperature is 14.79°C, this compares to 1998 which, by this time in the year, had reached an average global temperature of 14.77°C. My facts are first hand and up to date - more up to date then the second hand source which you cited.

Please stop saying 1998 was the hottest year on record - it wasn't. 2005 was hotter. The average global temperature in 1998 was 14.71°C, in 2005 it was 14.77°C.

For anyone with any knowledge of global warming to say it has ended would require a fall in the upward trend of rising temperatures, the last time this happened was in the 1960's and this was the result of high levels of atmospheric pollution blocking out sunlight. The most recent occurence of a downward trend in temperatures that can be attributed to primarily natural causes occured in the 1890's.

Answer 3

It has not leveled off. There was just one unusually hot year in 1998. But 2001 was hotter than 2000 and the general trend is up, with a random year to year variation superimposed.

Answer 4

1) 1998 was an anomalous year because of El Nino (as you can see in the link below point #2).

2) As you can see in the graph linked below, every year 2001-2006 was hotter than every previous year on record with the exception of 1998.

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/info/warming/

3) You're not going to have to wait any longer:

"2007 is expected to be hottest year on record"

http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/01/04/news/climate.php

Answer 5

You're simply confusing weather with climate.

The climate is still getting warmer. The weather can do anything for one year. Look at this graph. Individual years always jump around, but the trend is crystal clear.

http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/Image:Instrumental_Temperature_Record_png

Answer 6

Well it seems you've got it all figured out. You can say the same about the stock market. Until about two months ago it had not crossed above its previous all time high close. So despite the fact that many people were making millions of dollars since 2003, by your logic, the stock market had been flat.

Answer 7

That's hilarious - just this afternoon I was thinking of calling it "global warmed"!!

Answer 8

You have shown that you have no idea what global warming is. Brush up on your environmental readings, sir.