Do you think Tom Glavin (and maybe Randy Johnson) will be the last pitcher ever to win 300 games?

Question

Reaching 300 wins means 15 years of averaging 20 wins a season or 20 years of averaging 15 wins a season. Every year it seems like there are fewer and fewer truly dominating pitchers. With the way the game is played today, do you think it's even possible for a young pitcher to approach 300 career wins? I'm looking at the list of active leaders and I don't see a single pitcher with at least 150 wins that is young enough to have a realistic chance.

Answer 1

well i think for a 10 years or 15 years we will have to wait and see another 300 game winner

Answer 2

No, I don't think so, because these things come in cycles. When Nolan Ryan won his 300th in 1990, could you really say that you saw Randy Johnson, Maddux, or Glavine and thought they were likely to win 300 games at that point? Their careers hadn't been established yet, and I expect the same about current pitchers. How can you say for sure that someone like Santana, Bedard, Verlander or Kazmir won't get 300 some day?

I think that pitch counts may actually help more pitchers get to 300. Short term, yes, fewer innings in a season and thus fewer wins. Long term, though, their arm is healthier and stronger, so they actually pitch more seasons.

Answer 3

No not the last because there are a lot more pitchers pitching in to their 40s than there were in the past so that will offset that pitchers get less starts and decisions per season than they used to.

It will be harder though and I'm sure there will be less 300 game winners in the future.

Although it's possible that the current obsession with pitch counts is a fad and good starters will pitch more innings in the future than they do today. It's really changed a lot when you compare it to the 80s and even the 90s and I think it's gone a bit over board.

Answer 4

That's tough....hmmm, let's think about this.

It seems that every pitcher that comes up through the minors, has a chance to be great. It seems every pitcher is throwing great nowadays. Look at Peavy, Young, Penny, Verlander, Santana, and Haren.

BUT

If they can't get the run support they need, or pitch long outings (mostly a problem in the NL), they can't get the win. In the American League, a pitcher has problems going the distance because they give up so many runs and their team can't catch up, or they run the pitch count too high. In the National League, they can't go to the distance because they don't have high scoring ball games, so the manager needs to use a pinch hitter to hit for them so they can score some runs. This usually means the starting pitcher doesn't factor into the decisions.

I'd write more, but I have to finish packing for camp. Hope this helped!

Answer 5

I don't think so. Modern medicine and technology continue to extend pitching careers. Randy Johson would't be pitching at all, had he been a contemporary of Sandy Koufax. That knee (what remnant remain of the natural knee, plus all the implants and such) of Johnson's is an example. And if Sandy Koufax was playing now, you bet he'd have a long career.

In any event, you'll see a lot fewer 300-win guys. I do think Glavin and Johnson will stick around just long enough to get 300 wins, but Johnson got a late start getting into the majors.

Answer 6

Several current pitchers seem to have a chance to win 300 games during their career. Some of them are:

1. Mark Buerhrle, 28 years old = 103 wins
2. C.C. Sabathia, 26 years old = 92 wins
3. Johan Santana, 28 years old = 86 wins
4. Carlos Zambrano, 26 years old = 72 wins
5. Dontrelle Willis, 25 years old = 66 wins

Answer 7

The answers is simple, YES, why not Johan Santanas a dominant pitcher, C.C. Sabathia if he can keep his weight problems under control, Justin Verlander, Jeremy Bonderman, Dontrelle Willis, Roy Oswalt, Barry Zito, and Roy Halliday all have chances, so dont count out a 300 win pitcher3

Answer 8

As already pronounced, particular Johnson replaced into the final to be triumphant in 3 hundred wins & Glavine replaced into in basic terms previously him. It took the two certainly one of them 21 seasons to end this activity and that they the two slightly slipped in. Glavine replaced into on the Braves maximum of his occupation which replaced right into a precise 5 group almost in line with annum he replaced into there. Johnson bounced around of lots of the terrific communities. I believe the different posts as Halladay does have the terrific shot yet he's in his twelfth year and would would desire to time-honored 15 wins over the subsequent 9 seasons as he gets older, no longer likely. Sabathia is a fat ***, he won't final 21 seasons so he has no shot. the the remainder of the adult adult males in this checklist are on the way down so i do no longer think any certainly one of those adult adult males indexed makes it. In connection with a destiny pitcher making the checklist, these days pitchers do no longer pitch as much as they did in the previous and maximum youthful pitchers are transforming into coddled by using limiting their pitch count selection so as that they are going to be constrained of their first few years because of the fact the adult adult males in this checklist weren't. opportunities are high there is not any longer yet another 3 hundred win pitcher, yet in addition they mentioned that approximately 755 abode runs so who's attentive to!

Answer 9

It will happen, but you have to start young and go for a long time, you just have to be good enough to win and to stay around.

Look at Felix, D-Train, Zambrano, young pitchers with good starts, D-train and Zambrano are both around 70wins, at age 25-26. Another 15years, 15win seasons, and they are there, if they get more wins now, less later.

It isn't going to be very common, but will happen every now and then.

Answer 10

300 seems reachable. If a pitcher stays physically fit, a 20-year career is quite doable. . . If a guy gets close, he can hang around until he gets there.