cc sabathia has a lot of wins for his young age but i think 300 seems a bit unrealistic. johan would have to do a lot of work after he turns 30, as he become a starter a bit late in his career.
2007-07-01 05:33:00 · 13 answers · asked by Anonymous in Sports ➔ Baseball
I would have to say Roy Oswalt who has 105.
2007-07-05 04:43:41 · answer #1 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 1⤋
Johan might have some trouble since he didn't get "good" for a few years. He didn't start putting up great numbers for about 5 seasons, plus it will be hard getting wins on the Twins.
Chien-Ming Wang might have a chance. His first year he had almost 20 wins, and even though he was injured for the start of this season, he still is on track for 14, if he can get around 20 consistently, he should be able to get 300 or more.
C.C. Sabathia won't get it. He only gets around 13 wins every year, he's just having a good year this year. He might end up like Johan Santana.
Justin Verlander could get 300 too. He's only played 2 full years, but he did great in the first, and already threw a no hitter in the second (this year.) If he keeps up a solid 15-20 every year, he might have a great shot.
2007-07-01 05:42:55 · answer #2 · answered by Ambrose 5 · 0⤊ 1⤋
Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain, both with the San Francisco Giants, could have a chance. They are both 22 years old and are becoming aces. Cain has had zero run support this year and although he sports a 3.38 ERA his record is 2 wins and 9 losses. Lincecum is the second coming of Roy Oswalt and he may actually be better than Oswalt. Today he pitched 7 shutout innings and struck out 12 hitters and got the win. He has had 3 possible wins blown by the bullpen but is still 3-2 this year. Both pitchers could and most likely will be future 20 game winners.
2007-07-01 12:35:26 · answer #3 · answered by tk 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
See...the deal with the 300 win club is that it will very soon become the elitest group of the "lock hall of fame numbers". For those who don't know (though I am sure you all do) those numbers are:
500 homers
3000 hits
300 wins
With the dawn of the five man rotation, and 30 start seasons it is going to be very hard for up and coming young pitchers to get to three hundred... hell, guys like Glavine pitched in 4 man rotations forever and are just now, over 40, coming into the 300 club. Imagine playing your whole career with one less start a week and still hitting that number...virtually impossible...
Perfect proof is that Pedro won't even sniff the 300 club, and he is a lock Hall of Famer, first ballot...
2007-07-02 05:20:39 · answer #4 · answered by newrorugby 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋
300 is probably unrealistic for anyone now with the few innings they pitch. Sabathia is probably the #1 cantidate. He has been the tough luck loser much of his career with little run support and a bad bullpen. If this is his real breakout baseball season he has a shot. I just threw a few numbers down right here to see what he might come out with.
wins each year
2001-17
2002-13
2003-13
2004-11
2005-15
2006-12
2007-23
2008-19
2009-21
2010-16
2011-17(turns 30)
2012-20
2013-19
2014-15
2015-12
2016-17
2017-16
2018-15
2019-13
2020-15
2021-10(age 40)
2022-7
2023-4
So if all this happens or something simialr happens it woud come out to 340 wins. He probably won't get that many but he has a shot. I did something similar with Roy Oswalt and it come out to 290. With Santana it came out to exactly 300. Chances are none of these players will get 300 but they are probably(outside of Randy Johnson)the only players that have a shot left.
2007-07-01 14:23:54 · answer #5 · answered by red4tribe 6 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Johan Santana.
But, as a cautionary note, he is so far away -- and until someone gets at least halfway I don't think there's any point to such predictions -- that the error bars are enormous. This is more a wild guess (with a li'l bit of evidentiary basis; he's a darn good pitcher with a short but real record of success) than a meaningful prediction.
2007-07-01 05:44:26 · answer #6 · answered by Chipmaker Authentic 7 · 0⤊ 0⤋
You can't predict medical problems and injuries, or the quality of the team down the road. But Cole Hamels of the Phillies looks very promising. He's only 22 years old and has the poise of a veteran. He already has 9 wins this year in only his second season in the majors.
2007-07-01 06:07:19 · answer #7 · answered by dwmatty19 5 · 0⤊ 0⤋
I'm afraid that the 300 win pitcher might go extinct, but I would give Roy Oswalt a long-shot's chance... The guy records 18 win seasons like it's his JOB!
...Well, technically I guess it is, isn't it?...
2007-07-01 05:50:13 · answer #8 · answered by GrinGASTIC!! 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Justen Verlander
2007-07-01 05:58:27 · answer #9 · answered by Trevor 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋
i would have to agree with you cc sabathia has the best chance of the young guns
I would throw out Zito, Santana and Oswalt also but, it all depends on there health, durability and run support .
2007-07-01 05:44:13 · answer #10 · answered by johnny z 5 · 0⤊ 0⤋