i could basically intervene at here circumstances: a million. no count if it somewhat is a family members member(no count the weapons) 2. there's a intense disadvantage(yet no weapons) 3. No weapons are present, yet while there is something(knives, chains, and so on...) i could step in 4. 4 or much less human beings(no weapons) 5. If I had backup different than that, i could be calling the law enforcement officers. we don't have a community watch, a minimum of not anymore.
2016-10-30 01:58:42
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answer #2
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answered by ? 3
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Yes, it's possible. Particularly if the question is asked without attacking anyone, either.
As for the lack of intelligence, allow me to supply an opinion regarding what I think is the Main Event (following your namesake) of our time.
It's about oil - and why gas prices are so high. Gas prices are higher everywhere worldwide - not just the US.
Long-term gas prices are based on Supply & Demand. Wars, terrorist attacks, natural disasters, pipeline breakdowns, and speculation can only cause temporary shocks & Short-Term price movements. Long-term, however, price is affected by Supply & Demand.
Global supply is currently at 85 million barrels per day (mbpd), while demand is also at 85 mbpd. Supply has been holding steady at maximum production output for most major oil producing countries - the first time in history when production has "plateaued". However, worldwide demand has been growing at 1-3% per year, largely fueled by the US, China, India, & developing countries. Flat supply + Growing Demand = Higher Prices.
Many believe (I'm one of them) that supply has peaked, plateaued, and will start declining from here on out. Fewer new fields are being discovered, and they're not enough to replace the old ones which are running out. It is estimated that 95% of all oil has already been discovered, and the remaining fields are all in more expensive, hard-to-reach areas... like the North Pole, the Gulf of Mexico 5 miles under, or tightly melded in with rock in Colorado (oil shales). This is why oil companies are spending progressively less each year on Exploration (and $0 on new refineries) - because they've been looking for decades, and now there's extremely little new oil to be found. The current ratio is above 1:4, meaning for every 1 new barrel being discovered, we're using up more than 4.
We've already used up 50% of all estimated oil in the world. That's 1 trillion barrels, with 1 trillion left. We're at the half-way point, and what's left is lower quality oil, deeper underground, more difficult & expensive to get/process. Literally, it's all downhill from here. We're not running out of oil just yet (that's in 25-35 years at current rates of demand growth)....
...but we're running out of CHEAP oil.
The 4 largest "super giant" oil fields in the world (1 each in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, China, & Mexico) are all in decline. Combined, these 4 alone produce +10% of all global output. Their names are Ghawar, Burgan, Da Ching, & Cantarell. Saudi Arabia has the world's largest oil reserves, and unfortunately, Ghawar (which is 50+ years old) accounts for 60% of its total annual output.
Google "peak oil". You're not gonna hear too much about Peak Oil from the media or politicians, because they don't want to start a panic. Permanently high oil prices will ripple into the economy, causing inflation, recession, unemployment... and probably much worse if it's long-term. Worse & longer-term than the oil shocks of the 70s.
Why? Because all our food, goods, people, and everything else - depends on oil-based transportation (+95%). All plastics, most chemicals, and thousands of daily products depend on oil for their Manufacture as wel.
The US GAO (Government Accounting Office) released a report in Feb. 2007 warning about Peak Oil, but so far the government hasn't been doing anything about it. As a result of long-term government inaction (as well as by both Repubs & Dems), several cities around the US have already passed Peak Oil resolutions to prepare for this problem, including San Francisco, Portland, Franklin NY, and Blooomington IN.
If peak oil is here, then these high oil prices are relatively long-term, permanent, and can't be reversed. Since supply has already maxed out (IMO), the only way is to cut global demand, which will only work if done globally. The US consumes 20 mbpd (#1, and 25% of all world output), and only self- produces about 7 mpbd of that. (We used to be the World's Saudi Arabia, but we peaked in 1970, and have been downhill since then. There are no new fields in the US - they've already looked.)
Lowering global demand is very difficult to do, since oil = wealth = "good" economies, since the largest consumers of oil are the US, China, Japan, and the EU.... the developed countries of the world. Cars can't run without oil - and neither can modern economies.
Alternative fuels are not up to scale, and won't be for decades due to technological obstacles, cost competitiveness, and infrastructure investment. The DOE (Department of Energy) estimates they can account for 4% of all fuel needs by 2015. Right now, they only account for 1%.
So we are in major trouble. Be prepared for peak oil.
2007-05-29 04:00:47
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answer #7
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answered by sky2evan 3
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