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2007-05-04 18:16:19 · 25 answers · asked by Anonymous in Politics & Government Military

25 answers

bombs blow up stuff, missles too.

It won't be good for many people.

2007-05-04 18:18:26 · answer #1 · answered by baldy 4 · 2 1

They will counter attack. The targets will be the oil refineries and terminals in the gulf region specifically the Persian gulf region. The Iranians have a large number of cruise and ballistic missiles that are more than good enough to hit such large and close by sites. The other targets will be oil tankers these being attacked by there modern kilo class attack subs which have the advantage over American subs in the noisy shallow waters of the gulf. The other way they would counter attack is with terrorism and sabotage attacks at other world oil refineries and infra structure like power plants, telephone exchanges and the like. It is these realities that will keep the US from attacking Iran. The other big reason would be if Iran invaded Iraq then the troops there would be in a hopeless position a real army to fight on one side and insurgents every where else. A generals worst nightmare and no reserves to call upon.

2007-05-05 11:58:18 · answer #2 · answered by brian L 6 · 2 0

More then likely, IF we attack Iran, under the current situation, unless we are dramatically reinforced and Iraq itself is stabilized and is behind us, we'd take one bad loss in the opening phase.
1)We do not have the troops to even control the insurgency in Iraq.
2)Iraq's Shiite insurgents are backed by Iran. Unless they are brought into the government and into backing the US, they will rise up behind our lines and cut off supplies, communication, and retreat.
But, given the technological superiority, and likely air superority in the region, these defeats will not be substantial. The troops will regroup in northern Iraq, controlled by the US friendly Kurds and will prepare to try again along a more secure, if more hazardous invasion route. An invasion of Southern Iraq will have be mounted again in order to stabilize the southern flank, although Sunni Arabs from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Jordan would be more then willing to help in that regard.

Phase two, will be more succesful, as American technology and air power will likely overwhelm the Iranian army and suicide squads. Tehran will be captured after a week of fighting and the Iranian forces will withdraw either into the south toward the rocky coast, where a seaborne landing is improbable, if not impossible, or toward Iran's northeastern border and will fight a guerilla war from there. From there the war would progress into stage 3.

In stage 3, the Iranian resistance will mirror the Iraqi resistance movement that is currently going on. Guerrilla tactics designed to avoid American firepower, and will run from eastern Iran to southern Iraq. From there, everything will depend more on what Bush can do to persuade the majority of Iranians to back the US (which might be easier then in Iraq today, as the Iranians as a people are dissatisfied with a theologic government more then the Iraqis) and how well the new battlions are trained in counter-insurgency tactics.

Net Result
Draw. The US's already unpopular Iraq War will prevent the US from maintaining an Iranian war for the long term. While the present government will be destroyed, the US military will be forced to withdraw before a replacement is fully established leaving southern Iraq and most of Iran in chaos.

Casualties US
Killed- 3,500-5,000
Wounded - 9,000-15,000
Missing/Captured - 3,500-10,000

Casualties Iranian/Iraqi Shiites
Killed- 500,000+
Wounded -600,000+
Missing/Captured - 250,000

That is my best guess as to what would happen if we attack Iran.

2007-05-05 01:43:34 · answer #3 · answered by Sam N 6 · 1 1

Since the Iran hostage crises 30 years ago, the U.S. has been looking at a possible war with Iran and what it would look like from different kinds of senerios such as creating U.S. backed terrorism, a real embargo to a straight conventional war complete with rebuilding to a nuclear war.

Problems:
The U.S. has not only failed to create a terrorist back organization that can take over a democratic country, they seem to come back and bite the creater.

The embargo strategy has failed with different countries too. Even people in the U.N. were cashing in on the oil embargo in Iraq. With Russia and China wanting Iranian oil at all costs, an embargo wouldn't work.

To win in a conventional war, the U.S. might have to kill 10 million Iranians (based on the 10 million Germans that were killed in WWII) in an all out war or maybe a couple of million trying and failing to win the hearts and minds (complete with a wimpy pull out and hatred around the world).The U.S. might go after the water supply which could kill 3/4 or more of the population from dehydration. It'll probably cost $3 to $10 trillion to wage. It depends on how the U.S. fights on how many U.S. forces are killed. If ground troups are used, maybe 10,000 dead. If it's just B-52 bombers ripping apart the border cities (cutting off the supply lines out of the country) and moving inward there would probably be less American deaths.

That leaves the nuclear option. The nucular weapons are already paid for and it could be waged in less than 1/2 a hour while killing enough Iranians (all of them in the country) to actually get a real win. Things would start to really heat up as Russia would nuke Chechnya, China would nuke Taiwan and or Japan and even Israel might nuke some territory. Conventional troops would only be used by poor countries or just as trip wires.

2007-05-05 02:18:59 · answer #4 · answered by gregory_dittman 7 · 0 1

If a attack of Iran happened, it will mostly be a air campaign, very little ground involvement at first. I think there would be wave after wave of air bombing, cruise missiles, long range missile strikes. We could do that almost indefinitely. After the country is substantially weakened, then ground forces would go in, probaly around the scale of what was on hand for Desert Storm. 500,000, or more. Iran could fight an insurgency the rest of thier days, but even with half a million troops they are pretty much in a hopeless situation. But in the end, is it worth it? I would just send cruise missiles at Ahmedidjhad and send him a message. We can stop this now, or we can keep going. I'm thinking he would give in first.

2007-05-05 01:56:34 · answer #5 · answered by gregpasq 4 · 0 1

The US will not be attacking Iran without first bringing back the draft. So when you hear that we've done that, you can start to get nervous.

And you should be, very, very nervous; because with a draft, Iran would be crushed by the US.

All Iran really needs to do to get off US radar is elect a new president and bring down the old hardline regime.

2007-05-05 01:24:42 · answer #6 · answered by BOOM 7 · 1 2

I don't think they would necessarily attack Iran in the way they did Iraq. IF they do attack Iran, I believe they will just take out the nuclear sites.

2007-05-05 01:18:21 · answer #7 · answered by Billy 3 · 0 2

I don't think the US is going to attack Iran any time soon. If it does, it will be limited to nuclear sites and avoid as much collateral damage as possible.

It won't change the fact that monkey boy Ahmendinijad will cry and scream to the UN because we hurt his feelings....

2007-05-05 01:21:29 · answer #8 · answered by ? 6 · 4 1

Won't happen. Bush used up all the tolerance for war games of the USA public for a while.

2007-05-05 04:20:08 · answer #9 · answered by Anonymous · 1 0

Iran is a friend we do not wish to attack. It is your leaders who threaten the world with nuclear weapons who need to attacked.

2007-05-05 01:25:43 · answer #10 · answered by Sheriff of Yahoo! 7 · 2 2

I hope not. I agree with Kev M. Too many lives have been lost already. Every time I watch the history channel I keep thinking how similar things are now as they were in the past.

2007-05-05 01:22:25 · answer #11 · answered by mar 4 · 1 1

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