Does Hard Spun have a comeback chance? What about the Desormeaux horses--I figure it's usually a good sign when he makes a trip somewhere, but, then, his last outing at TP wasn't so good.
2007-03-23 12:37:16 · 5 answers · asked by Edward K 5 in Sports ➔ Horse Racing
Yeah, I think the training at TP angle is big. That race where Premium Tap was the failed favorite last summer, losing to a horse that seemed to lack class but had the home field edge, really proved to me that you have to consider experience on the Turfway polytrack.
2007-03-23 13:19:31 · update #1
What in the Hell was that second answer?
I think Twilight Meteor is going to win the Lane's End. He has experience on Polytrack, and he's a closer. I give Hard Spun a good shot, he's been training there and his times look good... that will be my exacta COLD.
2007-03-23 13:13:56 · answer #1 · answered by go4gin1994 4 · 1⤊ 0⤋
Without looking at the Form yet I will nail the 3 year old pick 3 and the Lane's End that follows it.
In the Hansel, Dallas Stewarts horse Weather Warning is the only one I have seen run (that I remeber) so he gets the key
The Bourbonette will go to Sealy Hill who ran lights out at Woodbine on the poly last year, and Casse took this last year with Top Notch Lady, I will back her up with some Pleatcher and Stewart chalk, Panty Raid (reminds me of being in University) and Floral Park.
In the Rushaway I'm taking another Casse horse who ran real big on the Woodbine Poly, Skip Code, this horse has been real green most of his career so I don't love him but at 10-1 he could round out a fairly chalky pick 3, I will back him up with Meritocracy, Pletcher again.
As for the big dance, I'm going with Forefathers, I was high on him going into the Swale and he ran big, forcing me to bet him in the future pool at around 60-1(my other 2 were Great Hunter at 24-1 and Stormello at 40-1, so 2 out of 3 ain't bad) I'll toss his last race and hope for around 4-1, being by Gone West out of a Lord At War mare he should have no problem getting the distance and Zito has already tipped his hand that the horse loves the poly (when he trained on it at Keeneland). I expect Hard Spun to run well but he will need to move forward to win this and prove he hasn't plateaud. Twilight Meteor ran big on the Keeneland Poly last year and should pick up the peices if the top two fold late.
So there you have it, a whole lot of favorites with a 10-1 shot sprinkled in, but I'd rather cash on a logical favorite then toss a ticket on a longshot without a shot.
2007-03-23 22:26:31 · answer #2 · answered by hoyo2_99 3 · 1⤊ 0⤋
be careful playing those polytrack closers when they get to churchill downs...theres a closers bias, especially at Keenland...created a lot of 'closer value plays' after the new track was installed...over 75 percent of winners were from well off the pace (a backwards bias) and didnt repeat form when transferred to a 'fair'surface...
2007-03-23 16:48:30 · answer #3 · answered by doingitright44 6 · 1⤊ 0⤋
I'm going with a bomb. #8 Helios. First time lasix with strong closing abilities.
2007-03-23 13:43:59 · answer #4 · answered by thecoochieman 4 · 1⤊ 0⤋
dunno
2007-03-23 12:39:04 · answer #5 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 1⤋