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2007-03-08 03:40:56 · 3 answers · asked by CircusDelux 2 in Politics & Government Military

3 answers

More than 40,000 but less than 800,000.

Nobody really knows, because the country is in chaos, the Iraqis have conflicting estimates, and the U.S. Department of Defense does not track Iraqi civilian casualties with any great vigor. Here are some estimates:

The British medical journal, "The Lancet", published a study in October 2006 saying that 655,000 had died as of mid-'06, as a direct result of the war (either by violent death or by the impact war has on the ability to render ordinary medical aid). Its confidence range is somewhere between 425,000 and 800,000, with 655K being the most likely number. That study's methodology is hotly debated, as it is based on self-reporting of deaths from a survey of 12,000 people in 1,800 households. This was a follow-up to a 2004 study that posited that 100,000 had died in the first 18 months of the war, but the '06 study had a much larger sample.

Based on hospital reporting, Iraqi government information, and other sources, the UN estimates that there were 34,500 deaths in 2006 alone. The Iraqi government disputes this figure. These figures come partially from bodies reported in morgues, and thus represent an under-reporting bias, since many people simply bury their loved ones without going to mortuary services.

The Iraqi Health Ministry said that 50,000 had died from the war as of mid-'06. However, the Health Ministry's reports do not seem to tally with just the number of bodies that arrive in morgues on a daily basis.

Just by tallying media reports, the Associated Press concluded that no less than 13,738 persons died in Iraq in 2006 alone. A similar methodology, tallied by the Iraq Body Count Project, says that no less than 53,000 were dead as of January 2007. Like the AP total, this depends on reported deaths, but it is widely assumed that many deaths go unreported. By combining reporting rates of the IBC Project with official statistics from the Iraqi Interior Ministry, the Brookings Institution posited 63,000 deaths as of August, 2006.

Finally, President Bush estimated 30,000 deaths in December, 2005. A year later, General George Casey said that he thought the total was probably close to 50,000. The Iraq Study Group reported that US totals are very incomplete, with systematic under-reporting of death tolls, especially in regard to incidents which kill no US personnel.

2007-03-08 18:49:49 · answer #1 · answered by Fred 5 · 0 0

It depends on what you mean and in Iraq who you ask. If you mean total deaths (everything from heart attacks and cancer to car bombs and bullets) and you trust the CIA's account, the on-line CIA fact book said 5.37 people died for every 1,000 Iraqis in 2006. There were about 26,783,383 Iraqis in Iraq during that time. So 143,827 Iraqis died in 2006 and if you multiply it by 3.75 that would be 539,352 deaths since the start of the second Iraqi invasion. Meanwhile if you took 26,783,383 Germans, 1,066,649 would have died in the same period because Germany has a death rate of 10.62 per 1,000. The math is somewhat faulty because Iraq's population has been rising while Germany's population is falling so in reality there would have been less deaths in Iraq and more deaths in Germany that what I mentioned. The CIA factbook says that France and the U.S. had a higher number of dead per 1,000 than Iraq.

2007-03-08 13:25:16 · answer #2 · answered by gregory_dittman 7 · 0 0

in 03- 04 when i was there... i personally saw atleast 500.... on my secong tour in 05-06 ... about the same number again....thats just one solider out of god knows how many

2007-03-08 11:44:50 · answer #3 · answered by mschupchup 1 · 1 0

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