no they make money by charging gullible people cash for tips which normally lose . if you get a winner it is probably odds on and you would pick it yourself anyway. stay clear of all tipsters and choose your own fancies. if you compare results you will possibly have the same strike rate as the "pros". good luck
2007-02-20 04:53:14
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answer #1
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answered by aladinsane 4
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Calmac33 is right. I have been doing my own research for a couple of years now. I see patterns, like in Maiden races longshots tend to do better, and in stakes the favorite #1 or the one with the most money being bet on it tends to do better.
Study each kind of track (Thoro/Quarter/Harness, Large/Medium/Small track handle) each kind of purse (Large/Medium/Small), each length (5 1/2 furlongs, 1 1/4 miles), each surface and each kind of race (Maiden, NW2, Stakes, Allowance, AOC, Open versus Fillies and Mares, for 3 yr olds or 4- yrs and up, etc.), and after you categorize such results for about a month or two for every track whose charts you can obtain, as well as following the best drivers in Harness (where it's more important than with Thoro/QH, where just blindly betting on any jockey will lose you money in the longrun, according to British Racing expert Nick Mordin), you will see some eye-opening surprises, like the way in Fillies/Mares' races there is seemingly a higher range in winners' odds, etc.
Also study how post positions, field size, entries (two or more horses coupled, like 1 and 1-A, etc.) and scratches affect things, as well as studying whether the public ignores a good horse because the handicapper has based the odds on public expectation - on my youbet.com screen I can see the last race achievements of each horse and sometimes (not always) can see a horse that is overlooked or its Morning Line odds are too high - especially in a Maiden race. Try it sometime.
Don't throw away your money listening to Beyer, Watchmaker or anybody else. If they really knew what they were talking about, they'd be betting, not talking. Your main emphasis should be to study the betting habits of the public, as in general they are most often right but usually exaggerate or underestimate a horse's talent, and occasionally fall so flat on their face you can bet against them if you do that in the correct type of race and know what you are looking for.
To win you must think differently, not follow someone else; and you must ALWAYS stay away when the risk far outweighs the reward, like when there's a field of six with three horse tied at 2-1 at post time, or with an odds-on favorite (unless you're betting another horse to Place). Always keep your aim the making of money, not being proven right that you picked a 5-1 winner over a favorite - do not be shy to bet a favorite to Show or a longshot to Place, or even make multiple Win bets on, say, 4 longshots above 7-1 in the same race - after all, longshots win about 29% of the time and Place 42% (including W and P), so by betting 4 horses instead of one, if the minimum of those you chose had odds of 7-1 you'd still make $6 on an $8 bet if any of them hits, etc. etc. If you try hard you will determine when and in what kind of races such results are more likely to occur (hint: NOT the Derby!)
Best of luck.
2007-02-22 01:07:52
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answer #2
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answered by Anonymous
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Where's the fun in following someone elses tips? If they win you didn;t even select them & if they lose you blew your cash on someone else's suggestions.
If you are going to bet, make your own choices. It's much more interesting & rewarding when you get it right.
Also, most 'tipsters' are con-men, windbags or a combination of the two.
2007-02-21 15:56:16
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answer #3
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answered by calmac33 1
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Yes, of course.
You haven't heard of the orange LAWTON sheets?
Chalk City!
2007-02-21 14:08:25
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answer #4
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answered by bold4bs 4
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