Bird flu is technically 'happening' already - it is infectious between birds and is sometimes passed to people.
However, the virus has not evolved to be able to pass from person to person, and if it does evolve so that this is possible, there may be a very serious epidemic.
Basically, it cannot be predicted for certain whether or not this adaptation will occur, but many current preventative measures are in place to reduce the chances of the virus adapting for optimal survival in humans.
2007-02-13 09:42:54
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answer #1
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answered by Josabelle 1
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I don't think anyone can give a positive answer to this question. Bird flu is a very real and present threat to many countries in Asia. From time to time, small outbreaks are also discovered in the Western hemisphere, but there have been no significant problems there and no human infections, most importantly.
It was thought that this winter might see the virus cause the global epidemic everyone has been fearing. However, more recently, scientists have said that it might take years until the virus mutates and transforms into a varian that could be passed on from person to person quite easily.
In the meantime, be cautious but do not over worry and use websites like http://www.bird-flu-center.com to check out news and info on the subject.
2007-02-15 01:30:39
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answer #2
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answered by Anonymous
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Unfortunately it is quite likely to spread to people and cause a pandemic.
Early in the outbreak in birds, the virus would only latch onto human cells deep in our lungs. So it was difficult for the virus to get from an infected person’s lungs into the airway and lungs of another person. Even if the infected person coughed, the virus probably wouldn’t be transmitted to the second person.
[In spite of this, there have been some cases of human-to-human transmission, and the fatality rate has been over 60% over all. In Indonesia where there have been a lot of cases lately, the fatality rate is over 80%.]
Now the virus has mutated, and it is able to latch onto human cells in our upper airway. So when a patient who is infected with H5N1 virus coughs and spews virus into the air it can latch onto someone else's upper airway - just in the way that colds get passed around.
The virus also lives on surfaces like doorknobs, countertops, tissues, etc. and if someone touches a surface that the virus has landed on, they will be likely to get infected.
The virus is also in poop and if the patient has diarrhea, that is infectious too.
No one wants to think about a pandemic, But we have had three pandemics each century for the last 300 years so it is important to be informed.
There is no vaccine, because scientists can’t make a vaccine until the virus mutates and begins to cause a pandemic. Anti-viral drugs will be in very short supply. Hospitals will be short staffed and run out of beds.
We will likely be told to stay in our homes – no school or work – to reduce the number of people who get infected. So governments are saying that we should have a supply of nonperishable food, water, baby food, pet food, medicine, and medical supplies.
It’s scary, but we can prepare to help our families to survive a pandemic.
2007-02-13 10:55:09
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answer #3
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answered by starlight 3
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the comparable difficulty that happned with the swine flu. human beings don't comprehend that those are gimmicks the government makes use of to maintain all and sundry's minds off of the actual issues we are dealing with with the intention to steer away from a countrywide revolution. Ever word it constantly occurs amazing for the time of a actual disaster. Such on the economic equipment disaster we are dealing with? it is so obvious, the U. S. is the only united states of america interior the international that doesn't have self sufficient information. Our information stations are controlled via the government, human beings do basically no longer tell themselves adequate on those matters. in case you p.c. information track into BBC or yet another united states of america's station to ascertain the certainty.
2016-10-02 02:22:48
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answer #4
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answered by ? 4
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I can't believe the way no one else has actually tried to answer the question!
I assume you're asking about whether there's going to be a major epidemic of bird flu--in humans.
Currently, bird flu is a big problem in birds. The disease can spread from bird to bird, and if people have enough contact with the birds, it can spread from bird to person. People were originally worried that the disease could mutate so that it could spread from human to human.
New research suggests that this is unlikely to happen. Humans and birds have VERY different respiratory systems. When bird flu infects humans it infects a different part of the respiratory system, such that even if the virus were able to be spread to other humans, the mechanics of it would make such spread very unlikely, very different from a "regular" human flu virus.
Why is bird flu a problem in birds? The answer is simple--because of large-scale commercial agriculture, where we pack thousands of birds in very tight quarters with poor sanitary conditions. This sort of environment leads to an environment where disease can spread very rapidly, and the birds are generally unhealthy because they are not able to exercise and/or eat a diverse diet, so their immune systems are weak, so the disease spreads out of control. The way to prevent this sort of thing from happening is to move back to smaller-scale operations.
You can make a difference, as a consumer, by purchasing so-called "free-range" chicken, and/or organic chicken. These animals are usually raised in better conditions, conditions that don't lend themselves to bird flu epidemics.
So the answer is--Yes, bird flu has already happened in birds, Yes it can spread to humans, but No, it is very unlikely that an epidemic would break out in which the flu could spread from humans to humans. I hope this answers your questions; you can follow the link I added if you want more info.
2007-02-13 09:45:33
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answer #5
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answered by cazort 6
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if it does evolve into a human strain, then we are screwed. It depends on containment but it is possible for the animal strain to evolve to infect humans and when that happens experts predict that millions will die.
2007-02-13 09:40:57
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answer #6
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answered by Christopher45 3
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Hope so. Too many idiots and selfish people perpetuating hatred, poverty and mental illness. My is like a parasite on nature.
2007-02-13 09:34:50
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answer #7
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answered by I'm Sparticus 4
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I think it may. Sadly it affects the young because it turns their healthy strong immune system working against them
2007-02-13 09:43:25
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answer #8
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answered by Birdman 7
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Nobody knows;
a) if it will hit
b) the affect that it will have if it does
There's a risk, but it's still an unknown.
2007-02-13 09:35:55
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answer #9
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answered by Felidae 5
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You make it sound like a rock concert or something!
2007-02-13 09:45:22
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answer #10
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answered by marcoporres 4
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