Will David Cameron be Prime Minister?

Question

If (when) Gordon Brown becomes PM he might want to hang on until 2010 before calling an election. Given that if the Tories don't win then it could be 2014 or 2015 before they get another chance, would David Cameron be able to hang on to the leadership that long? So, will he ever become PM and if so, when?

Answer 1

I think Cameron will PM one day, but I don't think he will hang on until 2015. The Conservative party is too cannibalistic for that to happen.

Cameron's problem is not that he hasn't stated his policies (which I happen to think is rather a good idea given it could be 3 years until the next election), it's one of perception. People remember the Conservatives as the "Nasty" party.

In the background of the Conservative party lies Margaret Thatcher, and she is still horrifically unpopular. Even more unpopular than Blair! She needs to take her seat on the great green benches in the sky (i.e. die), for the Party to draw a line under her. Her shadow is still cast over the Party. The Conservative Party will struggle to be elected while she is still alive (and I'm certainly not suggesting anyone bump her off!).

I don't think Cameron is any worse than Blair in 1997, I thought he was smarmy then and everyone just wanted a change and the Conservatives were on a hiding to nothing (in fact they were smashed).

Brown Vs Cameron at the next election will be the real battle. Once Cameron lays his cards on the table, we will all know what we are likely to get. Remember the manifesto is only produced about 6 weeks before the General Election, so the Conservatives have the luxury of time. Plus New Labour seem to be digging a bigger hole for themselves as every new political story emerges.

It's interesting you ask whether Cameron would be around for the 2014/5 election, I have to ask whether Brown would still be PM then, if he won the next election? The factions in the Labour Party seem to be drawing battle line already and Blair is still PM. I'm not even sure Brown would last 5 years as PM before his own party got rid of him. It's a case of "With friends like these..."

So to answer your question Yes I think Cameron will be PM, but ONLY if he wins the next election. I don't think he will hang around after that.

Answer 2

David Cameron will never be PM - not because the people will not want to vote Tory, but because within the Tory Party there is always trouble a-brewing, especially the ever present threat of a leadership coup. The Tories will not get elected at the next election and this will start the battle for the leadership within Tory ranks.

Answer 3

We the people no longer have the ability to think. We have our every view, opinion & conclusion handed to us each day at our media meal-times. The 79 - 90 government planted the seeds for the worst economic disaster that capitalism has ever seen: whether you like it or not, that is a fact! Those seeds are about to produce the full flower of total global economic collapse. DC is a PM with almost no power. He cannot pursue the true greedy destructive policies of selfish inconsideration that his party utilized from 79 - 97, because he will not have the support needed to get those policies through. There is still a very good chance that the Liberals will "change sides" at some point; so they must be kept happy. DC is a PM in a house with more enemies than friends. There will not be many policies passed while this position remains so. As I have already stated, economic collapse is just around the corner (the US will probably sink without trace!) and the sitting government will become unelectable for at least a decade. So, we today have the hung parliament with DC in a very weak position. This situation is absolutely perfect for the coming Storm: Who would become unelectable if all three parties are at the helm when Thatcher's nemesis (as I call it) finally arrives? Ergo, the current political position is perfect for the approaching slump. I would be inclined to add this result to my list of events proving that our votes mean nothing. Election winners are a decided by persons unknown to continue the political dichotomy between right and less right that "appears" to work. I don't like conservative politics at all but, like most on the left, I'm willing to give him time before I decide whether I like him or not.

Answer 4

no labour as taken the middle ground no longer old labour more like a caring conservative party when you look at them tony Blair could be a conservative prime minister if you did not know better what do the conservatives do pick a Blair lookalike with no new ideas if they have any that is clearly they will pull back a lot of votes new voters you have never had any other party in power plus the peoples dissatisfaction with a long running government but it would need labour to loose the next election not the conservatives to win it then they will drop Cameron the real question is can they find a charismatic leader with something that is clearly different from the normal policies most of which new labour as borrowed and adjusted to suit the public view

Answer 5

I can't see him lasting as Tory Leader until the next election. There is already a lot of unease about things like lack of policy, apparent dislike of all things Tory and his ridiculous statements like 'hug a hoodie', 'let the sunshine in' etc. Also, he is so damned self satisfied. When he goes he can take Francis Maude with him!

Answer 6

Nooooooo- It'll be William Haigh of course! Cameron is only holding the fort till the next election!

Answer 7

i truly do not think so.
unfortunately he has told the world that his party has no policies at the moment and that level of lack of leadership means i do not see how he could last out so long as that

Answer 8

Hell no, not unless people all take stupid pills and fall for his desperate attempt to be "down with the kids" and popular.

He seems like a decent enough bloke, but that webcam crap of his "Oh hi, you've caught me doing the dishes" MY A4SE!!!!

Answer 9

No George Bush is moving over there and will be grand ruler of the European Union.

Answer 10

yes-given a chance-he will be much better than a scottish gordan brown-lets have an englishman for the job