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2007-01-06 04:07:33 · 11 answers · asked by Anonymous in Environment

Declining Fertility Rate In just the last four years, the United Nations has reduced its global population projection for 2050 by nearly one billion people. Other demographers expect that in the next few years the organization will be forced to lower its projections by yet another billion.

The 2050 projection has gone from the 1994 estimate of 9.8 billion to this year's estimate of 8.9 billion.

The current world population is about 6 billion people.

Over the past 30 years, the average number of children born to women in the less-developed countries has fallen from 6.2 to 3.0 -- a decline of record-breaking speed.

Although a fertility rate of 2.1 children per woman is needed just to replace current population, in Europe the fertility rate has dropped to 1.42 and in Japan to 1.43.
Spain has the world's lowest fertility rate -- at 1.15. Experts predict Europe will lose at least 100 million people by mid-century.

2007-01-06 04:16:54 · update #1

Due to immigration, the U.S. rate has gone from an average of 1.9 over the past quarter of a century to 2.0 now.

Experts say that never have fertility rates fallen so far, so low, so fast, for so long, all over the world. The numbers don't often make headlines, however, because they run counter to the arguments of some special interests -- "global warming" alarmists, for example.

Source: Ben Wattenberg (American Enterprise Institute), "Two Billion Never-Borns!" Washington Times, October 29, 1998.

For more on Population and Resources http://www.ncpa.org/pi/internat/intdex11.html

p.s. dont be saying i dont know what i am talking about because i do.

2007-01-06 04:27:14 · update #2

11 answers

There are three main reasons for the decrease - rising standards of living and especially, eduation standards which allow people to choose their family sizes. And, wider availability of family planning of all types, and dramatic migration of people from rural setting where large families are a big advantage, to urban settings where large families are a disadvantage.

In developed countries, the low fertility rates are a concern because either growth or shrinkage in the population causes problems. Japan, Italy and other developed countries are quite concerned about this. On the other hand, in many developing countries, the still high birth rate puts a tremendous strain on every kind of resource and public service. This is especially true when the increase comes on top of record increases in the last generation which have caused huge damage to local environments, agricultural assets and water resources.

It is wrong to consider this situation on a world wide basis. It needs to be considered on a regional or national basis so that appropriate policies can be in place to assure minimal needs are met for people around the world. There can be little doubt that in the world of 2050, it would be a much kinder, gentler place with 8 billion people than with 11 billion. How we arrange that is the big challenge for today's young people.

2007-01-06 05:29:44 · answer #1 · answered by matt 7 · 1 0

the main challenge of declining fertility fees is the proportional getting older of the inhabitants. it incredibly is already a substantial challenge in worldwide places like Italy and the East ecu republics that have been as quickly as area of the Soviet Union. whilst a rustic stops changing inhabitants (finished fertility value drops under 2.a million), the cohorts that use to help the elderly are only not there. this implies that the staff might desire to pay outrageous taxes so as that the government might have the sales to fund courses for the older voters. two decades from now, Europe might have 6 million fewer human beings than it does right this moment. Japan would be appropriate in the back of. yet, the U.S. will take some years until now it is in that place. first of all, we've had countless "echoes" off the newborn strengthen of 1946-1964 whilst seventy six,000,000 infants have been born. 2nd, because of the fact of immigration, we've a reasonably youthful inhabitants. notwithstanding present day legal immigrants from places like Africa and South Korea tend to be between the main distinctly knowledgeable immigrants that we've ever had, lots greater have little or no guidance. because of the fact guidance and variety of young toddlers needed are negatively correlated, we can assume to have a start value that comes very close to changing our latest inhabitants for a while. i'm hoping that we use those years to learn Europe and Japan. we can learn from their destiny successes and mess ups. yet, we are incredibly a reactive society. fairly of taking preventive measures, we wait until we've a disaster until now we act.

2016-10-30 04:11:39 · answer #2 · answered by Anonymous · 0 0

don't know what you're talking about. the world's population continues to rapidly expand. notice that i'm specifically talking about worldwide population- there are lots of poor countries that seem to have no fertility problems whatsoever. it is true that many "modern" cities are experiencing lower birth rates, but most sociologists attribute that to a conscious decision by career-minded parents to postpone having children in favor of pursuing their careers. again, it's a conscious decision, so to change that would imply that you'd have to affect pretty broad social changes, such as taking away incentive for people to work hard at their careers, or else providing incentives for them to have children.

2007-01-06 04:16:46 · answer #3 · answered by belfus 6 · 1 0

I am not sure we should be doing anything to improve the declining fertility rate. It could be argued that environmentally there should be less of the human mammal on the planet. If we keep breeding like we are now we will be in terrible trouble.

2007-01-06 04:50:48 · answer #4 · answered by Curious2006 2 · 1 0

With 6 billion people on the planet why would you want to!

2007-01-06 04:14:00 · answer #5 · answered by Tony N 3 · 0 0

That is good news. We haven't learned how to feed the current population or prevent it from warring on a regular basis.

2007-01-06 04:21:22 · answer #6 · answered by Anonymous · 0 0

We need to stabilize the human population on this planet--so this is good news. Why would you want to prevent that?

2007-01-06 06:25:10 · answer #7 · answered by Anonymous · 2 0

There are 7 BILLION of us. This is the last of our worries.

2007-01-06 04:16:22 · answer #8 · answered by Andastra 3 · 0 0

Fewer people, so whats the downside?? In any case, its self correcting, with no proactive remedies needed.

2007-01-06 05:28:36 · answer #9 · answered by badabingbob 3 · 0 0

The world will come to an end soon enough. We need to expand onto planets in space.

2007-01-06 04:24:42 · answer #10 · answered by casinoman_1999 2 · 1 2

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