do you think oil gas will run out in 30 years time or is it all balls.?

Question

If yes will their be a economical crash . Do you think that reusable fuels will keep us. Or that our electricity will be regulated (off every other day) and most off all should I send my son and daughter on basic survival courses. With global warming . Hate to talk all doom and gloom. But I’m generally worried about my children’s future and I see it as my duty to prepare my children for all eventualities. Or am I over doing it. What you think????

Well thank you all for your opinion. I think I will bring my children on that survival course I would hate to think I did not do my job. And I will help to educate my children so that they can succeed in this capitalistic culture ( economic cal culture) and yes I should get my info from books not news papers. When I get the time. “I know time”

Answer 1

Oil will become to expensive for our lifestyle long before it actually runs out - known as "peak oil" when demand exceeds possible production.

the 70's Club of Rome report "limits to growth" still holds pretty true.

Relying on bio-fuels will require us to decide between feeding people (UN prediction to reach 9bn before crashing back to a "sustainable" 4bn or so) or trying to continue energy wastefull lifestlyes.

Alternative technologies to oil are already possible, but not available. eg for personal transport electric cars can already meet our requirements 250 miles per charge, >100 mph, 10 minute recharge ... see www.evuk.co.uk

The best way to "prepare" children is by increasing awareness and social skills, becoming self-sufficient will only set them up to be in conflict with those with power
www.greatturningtimes.org
who knows what the tipping point is that leads to the end of human civilisation, resource exaustion (oil, water, metals...), climate change (crop failures, arable land loss...), population growth, wars & conflict, loss of key bio-diversity (gaia)

Answer 2

Oil and gas will not have run out in 30 years time, but they will have peaked.This amount to a similar thing - we may have only half of the oil and gas available to use as we have now, and it will be more expensive. We will have to find other sources of energy to replace that.

The fact is we have explored most of the world for oil and gas. The remaining places are very expensive to operate in - deep water, and at the poles. The amount of discoveries peaked in the 1970's. Most of the biggest oilfields today were discovered 30 years a ago. All the writing is on the wall - declining oil and gas supplies are sure to happen within 30 years.

Will there be an economic crash? That is the $64,000 question. It depends on how fast the decline is. It depends on whether people insist on using gas guzzling vehicles. It depends on people accepting new nuclear plants. It depends on whether governments sit back and hope market forces will take care of us, or if they step in and make possibly unpopular changes.

As for survival courses, it depends on how urbanised your kids are. Kids in the country may already know how to catch and skin a rabbit, and more importantly live without power. As a way to teach independence and initiative a survival course would still be an invaluable gift. The principles of food, water, shelter apply equally to the outback as to a city struck by a hurricane. If you can survive for a month in the woods, a power cut of a few days will not be a problem.

For modern living, try the ELP principle:
Economise : be able to live on half your income
Localise : rely on local people and resources
Produce: have practical skills that can contribute to your community

Answer 3

In the 70's, they said there would be an ice age. Now, we're worried about human caused global warming. 200 years ago, we didn't know about oil, and humans managed just fine (well, relatively so). I seriously doubt we'll run out of oil in 30 years, but think of how nice it might be...nuclear energy is a clean, available, and relatively safe alternative....and our muslim friends across the atlantic will no longer have a source of unlimited funds with which to rain death and destruction upon your children.

All kidding aside, as a parent and a high school science teacher, I suggest you teach your children to be analytical thinkers, so they can sift through the plethora of available information and determine what is fact and what is not. Then they can do their own research, and make up their own minds about whatever they choose. For instance, the earth getting warmer is a fact...there is evidence to prove it. Humans causing global warming, however, is not a fact...it is not even a viable theory at this point, and I doubt it ever will be. Don't take my word for it, do some research....but do your research in the library, not in the newspaper.

Same thing goes for the oil issue. We really have explored very little and have no real sense for what may be out there. For various reasons, we "refuse" to drill where we know there are vast reserves. Even if the wells did dry up, humans would adapt...that's what we do.

Answer 4

Yes it will be gone. So also the civilisation that is built upon it.
It sounds patronizing but people have known ever since the first wells were drilled that oil was in limited supply. So the term Boom and Bust came into use. however the adaptation was to go out and find more. So that is why there are US military bases in Afghnistan all over central asia , iraq Sudan Somalia Columbia. The US wants to secure all of the oil supplies. I think its unreasonable. For example to try and take 80% of venezualas oil and give the people in venezuela the left over 15%.
Even if the US and brittain do mange to lay the pipelines into kazakstan all the way through Tibilisi and cehan -what then? It's still going to be gone . The way you understand this is to make a list of all the countries that produce oil. Type that countries name plus peak oil into google and start reading
> Mexico + peak oil
> Columbia + peak oil
> Sudan + peak oil
> KSA + peak oil
> Dubai + peak oil
and so on .....
If you want to see a boom town that went bust drive to Odessa Texas , Midland. The Bush boys used to drink beer in the country club in Midland.
The problem is population growth. beijing for example went from no cars to traffic jams and smog in the blink of an eye. Its going to be used up twice as fast as in earlier times.
If you want to know where we're headed just go back 100 years to the era before cars .Just prepare for it because its comeing .... and a lot more .
peak oil & geopolitical aspects search:
>Engdahl
> from the wilderness

Answer 5

You should take it seriously. However I remember predictions that the world's oil would run out in 30 years back in the 70's. Who knows how much more will be found? It could be said that losing the oil would not be a bad thing for the environment but I can't see it happening for a long time yet. Lates estimates say about 35-50 years, I believe.

Answer 6

I am from Aberdeen and my parents work in the oil industry. Personally I think North Sea Oil is on the way out - cause they have to dig deeper for oil and gas now, it is more expensive. But my parents say that they are finding new fields all the time in the North Sea. Plus companies in, Aberdeen are seriously starting to invest in renewable energy - such as the wind farm in the outer herbridies. So it is a bit of everything. We don't want to depend on Russia on the Eastern block if the oil runs out - although there is UK oil investment in that too - I think on the whole we are keeping our options open.

Answer 7

Oil will not run out as we are slowly transfering to bio oils created from plants which can substitute and be used to create fuels for vehicles. but gas i am not sure about and would guess that it is more likely a definate - just a matter of time.

Answer 8

There is nothing wrong with being prepared. I took survival courses and I have a hidden pantry w/canned goods and medical supplies. (just in case). I don't think it's paranoia..........everything runs out eventually and gas will run out..........the question would be when?