What are the chances of all out nuclear war?

Question

Are the odds high? How long until it happens?

Answer 1

I would say that the odds are fairly high consitering all of the hate in this world. Now hearing about all of these countries with nuclear weapons provides more evidence that nuclear war is inevitable. Although i hope it doesn't occur because the results would be devastating the odds are it will one day but only time will tell.

Answer 2

The power to extinguish life on the planet has hung over our heads since that December 2nd day in 1942 when the first controlled nuclear fission under direction of scientist Enricco Fermi marked the beginning of nuclear haulocaust potention.

We stand at 7 minutes to midnight on the Doomsday Clock and are a hairs breath away from utter destruction. Consider the following:

Oct. 27, 1962 - a Soviet submarine officer named Vasili Alexandrovich Arkhipov reportedly refused to comply with the launch of a nuclear warhead while apparently under attack by a U.S. warship near Cuba. In order to initiate such an attack, Soviet naval procedures stated that the captain and two other officers must concur. The other officer on duty agreed to the launch, but Arkhipov conviced the captain to wait for instructions from Moscow before proceeding.

October 24, 1973, as the Yom Kippur War was winding down, a Soviet threat to intervene on Egypt's behalf caused the United States to go to DEFCON 3.

November 9 ,1979, when the US made emergency retaliation preparations after NORAD saw on-screen indications that a full-scale Soviet attack had been launched. Early warning radar systems confirmed no such launch had taken place. A computer system test had caused the display errors and caused the absolute panic at NORAD.

Sept 26, 1983 Colonel Stanislav Petrov had 2-3 minutes to respond to 5 incoming nuclear warheads from the US according to his early warning system alarms. Against protocols, he did not push the button and did not notify his superiors, who would have most probably launched a counter-attack. The "rocket launches" were later found to be sun rays bouncing off of high altitude clouds.

Nov 1983, the USSR mistook a test of NATO's nuclear-release procdures as a fake cover for a NATO attack and subsequently raised its nuclear alert level. It wasn't till afterward that the US realized how close it had come to nuclear war.

Jan. 25, 1995 - Russia almost launched a nuclear attack after a Norwegian missile launch for scientific research was detected from Spitsbergen and thought to be an attack on Russia, launched five minutes from Moscow. This was the first time in history that the Russian suitcase carrying the codes was activated.

The chances are increasing, in view of Russia's aging early warning system. Most likely the cause will be an accdental launch by the Ruskies based on false info, thinking that NATO or the US launched against them.

The conflict with Iran and NorKor are peanuts, considering the two bulls in the glass shop with their nuclear arsenals. And don't think that just because the Cold War is over, that an accidental nuclear war is not in the cards, look at the last incident in 1995, that was POST-Cold War.

Answer 3

Minimal. Odds are 25:1. Start date will be September 17, 2058.

Answer 4

about 25% now.... but dangerous china is building an economy by a manufacturing buildup to sustain a wartime basis... north Korea will be used as the cannon fodder for china when the expansion for natural resources(oil) gets desperate...however the US and the ruskies have military grade polonium 212 in place which would kill millions and leave buildings and infrastructures in tack...the bad side effect of this action is that it takes 5-7 days for the radioactive material to kill you....a walking dead man is dangerous to start pushing buttons.. a counter offensive will be develop for this prediction.....50% when Iran gets the nuke....90% when Israel does a first strike for survival....then then..then...then...

Answer 5

When our Army is being attacked by armies from Iran, Syria, and the terrorist, the odds are about 100%.