Why is it so difficult to win a triactor in a horse race?

Answer 1

it might be hard to correctly guess the top 3 in order, but here is an easy play that costs $24 to bet. this wager lets you have room for error in ALL positions. say you like the 1 & 2 to win, the 3 & 4 to come in second and finally the 5 & 6 to finish 3rd....the bet would be $1 triactor 1,2 with 1,2,3,4 with 1,2,3,4,5,6 = $24. that way you have more than one chance to win, three chances to come 2nd and 4 chances to come in third place. so if the 2 wins, then you need 1,3,4 to come 2nd. 4 comes second, so now you need 1,3,5,6 to finish 3rd. easy enough and leaves that room for error, and hopefully a LONGSHOT!!!! good luck

Answer 2

You have to have a scientific method to categorize races - whether the three lowest-odds favorites that are underlayed should be in the bet, or whether all hell is breaking loose and everything is being bet with a lot of confusion - the type of situation to stay away from. Also consider that the field size will help or hurt - remember: to get the top three in a field of 18 is a nightmare, but in a field of 6 is not so impossible. Also know if it's a Maiden race that usually the 4th, 5th, or higher Favorite as an overlay will probably sneak in (usually place), whereas in a stakes race quite frequently it will be locked up by three of the first four favorites, or an odds-on Favorite and two "surprises". So the key is to know what kind of race you have and stay away when the public is betting all the horses down - that's only saying that nobody really knows who is good. To beat the crowd you must think and act differently.

I would recommend looking at race results and categorizing them by whether they had been Maiden races, large versus small fields, whether the three finishing in the money were the expected underlayed favorites, whether the field had a lot of longshots and if so were any in the money, etc. If you try this for a week you will see that there are certain "personalities" to the kinds of results that pop up. Then when betting triactors I would recommend boxing your bets, always including four horses ABC, BDC, CDA, etc. in all possible combinations. This will cost 24 tickets, either $1 or $2 each, depending on the local rules. Of course to profit you will not be able to box four horses that all have odds below 5 to 1. So the key is to decide when the payout would warrant such a method - after a couple of weeks checking the results that paid off enough that had you bet you would have profited, I guarantee that you will notice little things, such as field size, scratches, post position, what effect all three Favorites being tied in odds at post time had, etc., whether the Favorites were next to each other, whether a longshot was inbetween two Favorites, and what effect any of that had. You will see some very interesting things but you have to "go to school" for awhile.

Also do not lose sight of the fact that a lot of times an average horse will get in the triactor. By average, I mean its odds are either the average in the race in the ML (adding all the morning line odds up and then dividing by the number of horses in the field, omitting scratches of course), or at post time. Why would this be the case? Because being average, it has at least a chance of coming in third - maybe not winning, but finishing in the money; essentially an average horse is neither considered horrible nor over-rated, so its true chances are more realistic than some 30 to one (with no hope except once a day on a fluke) or that 1 to 5 odds-on Favorite just waiting to disappoint even though it has a famous bloodline.

I have also noticed that sometimes the public is dead accurate in their appraisal of who is going to at least come in third, and sometimes they are dead wrong. I use their collective behavior to tell me what to bet and what to avoid, much the same as a momentum stock investor really could not care less why a stock is rising - he just jumps on the bandwagon and day-trades it until it stops going up - so in essence when I bet I let everyone do my "research" for me. If the public underlays a 30 to 1 down to 2 to 1 it will likely not do anything, yet if they bet down a 10 to 1 to 4 to 1 it does have a chance, but certain things must be in place or it WON'T HAPPEN. I leave it to you to find out what those things are.

Answer 3

Yes, it's a humbling experience. Playing trifectas gives you a great respect for the laws of probability. Looks easy, but deceptive.Exactas are difficult enough, without adding another horse to the bet. But the payouts are enticing. Tread lightly, tri's can be a real money burner. Suggest that you get a betting partner or two; pool your bet money so you can throw in some long shot combinations. Split you winnings.
I like to bet tri's on fields between 8-10 horses. Box bets can get a little pricey: $1 , 3horse box=$6, $1, 4horse box=$24.
Remember, it's only the profit that you make that counts. If you invest a $24 bet, and get a return of $34, was it really wise to risk dollars to get dimes? You can get a bigger bang out of your buck by "Keying" a horse, and part wheeling & boxing the rest:
Example: You like the 1 horse to win, and think that the2,3,4,5 will be close behind. Say, "$1 triple key, 1 on top, with 2,3, with 4,5. Would look like this: 1/2,3/4,5 =$4 bet.
OR 1/2,3,4/2,3,4= $6 bet
OR 1/2,3,4/5,6,7 = $9 bet
OR 1/2,3/2,3,4,5,6 = $8 bet
OR 1,2/1,2/3,4,5 = $6
and so on........
"May the horse be with you"

Answer 4

How are you playing your bets? Is every tri a $2 bet? I like to wheel horses. Say you think you know who will win the race, and who will finish in second or third. Wheel all the other horses, so you don't get burned by the longshot that finishes third. It is more expensive to do it this way, and when the three favorties finish 1,2 and 3 you may not make much if any money, but when you get your horse with a longsot second, and your "board" horse in third, you'll be smiling all the way to the window!!!

Answer 5

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Answer 6

A trifecta is hard to win because you have to pick the first three finishing horses in order for a straight trifecta, or pick the top three finishers in any order for a box trifecta. It is difficult because you must get all 3. If even one of the horses you picked doesn't finish in the top 3 (for a box trifecta) or finishes out of order (for a straight trifecta), then you lose the bet. A more difficult bet is the superfecta, which is the same as the trifecta except that you are picking 4 horses instead of 3.

Answer 7

20:10 - Fleeting Spirit 21:28 - Zacinto 22:57 - Spanish Moon (NAP) 23:45 - Zenyatta 22:12 - Mastercraftsman (Reserve)

Answer 8

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Answer 9

never easy to figure out who is coming in first then multiply that by picking the 2nd and third place horse---can be huge odds in a large field!

Answer 10

Because any 99-1 longshot can come in third.