Winning Roulette Theory?

Question

Ok so I have this theory. I wanted to know what everyone else thinks so that when I do it I wont lose all my money. Assuming the minimum bet is $10 and the max is $5000. The bet would consistently be black. Could I bet $10 on black and if i win I would keep $5 winning and leave $5 that would make my next bet $15. Then whatever I win I would take a little bit away each time. If I lost I would double my bet and try to make my money back. If I lost again I would again try to win my money back. So if I made a $10 bet and lost my next bet would be $20. Once I win my money back I would revert to betting $10.

Wouldnt that theory work? Is there anything I'm not seeing? I figure you probably lose more then 10 hands in a row. Just seeing what you everyone thinks before I go.

Answer 1

The thing that you are missing is the effect of the zero and in America (most casinos) the double zero. Although you are being paid even money on your win, the chances of winning are not even since over the long term two out of every 38 spins will count against you, in addition to red counting against you.

So when you bet black you are covering 18 numbers that give you a win, but 20 numbers give you a loss.

Yes you can keep doubling down every time you lose, but if you lose 8 times in a row, which is possible that is:

10+20+40+80+160+320+640+1280 = $2550

By your eighth spin you have gambled $2550. If you win that spin you will walk away with $2560 but were risking a total loss of $2550. Even up to the seventh spin you have already lost $1270, and are now facing making a bet of an additional $1280 just to win it back.

If you ever watch a roulette wheel it will frequently land on the same color four or five times in a row. Remember that in the long term it will land on red and black the same amount of times, but 10 spins of a wheel is very much short term.

Bottom line, there is no way to beat the house. The house hold a 5.26% edge at American roulette and it will get you in the long run.

Answer 2

You will find that it will work for quite a while, but there will be a time in the not so distant future when there will be a huge string of red numbers completely wiping out your entire bankroll.

You can never overcome a casino advantage by adjusting your bet like this. You will make $10 at a time but it only takes 6 or 7 reds in a row to make your bets jump drastically. ... 10 20 40 80 160 320 640 1280. Get the picture. Just think when you have to put that 1280 out there. What happens on that spin if it comes up red again. That's only 8 reds in a row. Fairly common in terms of spending a lot of time doing this method.

Answer 3

The only way such a method could work is maybe Black Jack but do not forget the Casino is the winner at the end of the day. Why dont you try the stock market you will have a lot of chances there with such methods. Okay it might not be fast as gambling but that is why the losing part is also controllable and slower. You buy a stock at a certain price and when the price falls you buy it again (same amount). This way you keep averaging the loss. If you are lucky the stock climbs back and you will make profits. In roulette you have no controll over any outcomes and no real way of averaging the loss sensibly.

Answer 4

What you propose is called throwing good money after bad. The basic strategy in gambling is up your bets when you are winning. Before I sit down to gamble I decide on an amount I am willing to lose. I then make conservative bets until I have a nice stake of the house's money, or I lose my initial stake. Lastly, I do not play roulette, it is a suckers game with a huge house advantage. The strategy you suggest would work better playing blackjack which only has a 2-1 house advantage.

Answer 5

You're describing a theory called the Martingdale system, where you make a minimum bet to start. If you win, you keep the profit aside and continue with a minimum bet. If you lose, you double the bet, again and again, until you win again. At that point you will be one winning bet ahead in profit from where you first lost your bet. At that point, you also return to a minimum bet again and continue. This works, unless you lose 16 times in a row and are betting 20 grand to win five dollars. good luck..

Answer 6

The theory behind your system is an old one and one that is proven not to work, I can't remember the name of it at the moment though. I can tell you that when we work out what a maximum bet should be on a table we set maximums that only allow a player to double 5 or 6 times so on your $10 table the maximum bet would be $500.

Answer 7

what happens when you max out? Double up 10 bucks ten times, and see how much you might need to bet just to get back your first ten?
10 X 2 + 20
20 X 2= 40
40X 2 = 80
80X 2 = 160
160x2= 320
320x2 = 640
640x2 =1280
1280x2=1560
1560x2= 3120
3120x2=6240

Add up all those bets..you just lost 13,460$ trying to win back ten. Even if you have that much, you have exceeded the table limit! You arescrewed!

Answer 8

You will lose. You will be a loser. You cannot win if you continually bet. The house has GREEN 0 and GREEN 00. You will never win on these numbers betting as you propose. That means the best you can do is less than 50% win. That means you lose. I'm a chimp and I know that.

Answer 9

That strategy does not work because there is a table limit. You would hit the table limit and then could not increase your bet. Also, the number of times you loose or win in a row has nothing to do with the previous one. Each time is independent.

Answer 10

If your theory was that easy, the casino's would go broke.

There are a lot of factors to figure in as well... The main one being the black vs red average. On a level playing field the black vs red average would be 50% right? Well, this playing field is not level. It has human interaction which throws normal odds out the window. A human spins the wheel, therefore the wheel is never going to be spinning at the same rate of speed. A human rolls the ball, therefore the ball will never enter the wheel at the same speed or at the same point. Then there are the simple dynamics of the ball bouncing around inside the wheel.

Beleive me, there have been people trying to beat roulette tables for years, and only a few have succeeded. Usually through dishonesty.

My advice, Skip the roulette table and go for the blackjack tables. Your odds are better. You can also try the slot machines. But if you do decide to try the slots, play the ones close to the entrance. These are generally a bit more "loose" as the house lets these pay off a little more often than the ones in the interior. The reason for this is if the public sees a lot of people winning at these slots, it'll help pull them in. But even then you have to be careful. Remember, These games are for entertainment. But like everything, entertainment has a price... How much you are willing to pay to be entertained is up to you.

When I want to gamble, be it in a casino or a carnival, I always prepare myself before I go. And this is what I do. I take a set amount of money that I am willing to lose. Say $200.00. I put that $200.00 in my left pants pocket. Then I go to gamble. With each win, I deposit the winning money into the RIGHT pocket. After the $200.00 is gone from my left pocket, I count the money in my right pocket. If the money in the right pocket is more than $200.00, I skim off the remaining money and put that in the left pocket and replace the $200.00 in my right pocket. Then I play with the money from my left pocket again. If I should lose all the money in my left pocket and the money in my right pocket is less than $200.00. I quit. I take the loss and move on. The important thing to remember is after you count the money in your right pocket and skim off the extra cash, LEAVE that $200.00 ALONE. That way at the end of the night, as long as you leave the initial amount you started with in your pocket, you're out no money.

Also a coiuple things about money and gambling. Gambling places also attract a bad element. People that are looking to take your money. So here's a few tips... First, Never carry money in your back pocket whether or not it's in a wallet. Also do not carry it in a jacket pocket, even the inside breast pockets. Pickpockets can take it and you'll never know it. Always keep it in your front pants pockets. The front pants pockets are harder to get into and they generally are closer to your body allowing to feel anyone trying to reach into them. And if you are sitting, they're damn near impossible to get into without you knowing. When you stand up and move around to different tables etc. Keep both hands in your front pockets. Especially if you're carrying a good amount of cash.

Also, When you do your "count" to check your available cash or to skim off your profits, DO NOT do it in plain sight. Nothing attracts attention more than someone counting a large amount of money in a gambling place. Go to the bathroom and do it inside a locked stall or something. And if you do have to go to the bathroom, don't just drop your pants to the floor and do your business. Take the money out of your pockets first and either put it in a shirt or jacket breast pocket. People can reach under the stall and take the money from your pockets and be gone in an instant. And you can't chase anyone very well with your pants around your ankles. Just remember to put the money back in your pants pockets when you're finished.