Will the cease-fire in the middle east last?

Question

Hezbollah and Lebanon have already broken two of the main points in the treaty formulated only recently by the UN. The Pres. of Lebanon said that HE WOULD NOT disarm Hezbollah as stated in the treaty and Hezbollah is still receiving new supplies of rockets and other weapons from Syria and Iran. They will not surrender their weapons even though the treaty says they must.
What do you think Israel will do? Sit back and wait until Hezbollah has totally rearmed themselves for a new conflict? The so-called UN peace force will be useless...they wouldn't want to get into a shooting war with Hezbollah over UN resolutions. More chaos. More resolutions. Forget about peace. The final result from all this talking and posturing...Israel will go into Lebanon with its full army, nothing held back and they will decimate Hezbollah.

Answer 1

No because for 8,000 years that piece of land has been the venue of war and I think it will take a miracle to end that savage curse.

Answer 2

Israel will do exactly as you present. The UN resolution is meaningless, the UN has become a mockery of what the original intent of the unification of countries was meant to achieve. Israel has too much at stake to sit back and wait for Iran and Syria to bolster Hezbollah cache of arms. Unfortunately, as you point out Israel will more than likely do everything they can to decimate Hezbollah, and that will only cause grief everywhere as it will be the civilians of Lebanon who will pay the most dear price. This is a really bad game of "chicken" and someone's going to have blink first. And although I suspect this will never happen, the ideal (IMHO) solution would be for a somewhat neutral forward thinking Middle Eastern country (Jordan?) to bring Olmert and Nasrallah together, and recognize that while they may not accomplish absolute peace, right now, perhaps they can accomplish absolute quiet? For a moment?You know, try it on - see how it fits?

Answer 3

The essential problem here is Israel, not Hezbollah. By continually invading and occupying Lebanon, Israel has created this entire problem. As long as Israel continues to do this sort of thing, and as long as it fails to get out of ALL occupied areas, there will be problems like this. Lebanon and Hezbollah should do everything possible to thwart or frustrate the Israeli invader. The UN resolution is meaningless, the UN peacekeeping force will be useless, and the violence will continue. Israel has got to get out of all occupied areas including the West Bank and the Golan Heights and it has got to stay out. Israel has got to release the tens of thousands of kidnapped Palestinians kept as prisoners in its dungeons. Israel is the cause of the problem and as long as Israel keeps being the problem the conflict will continue. Israel can NEVER decimate Hezbollah unless it kills off every man, woman and child in all of Lebanon, and what would you call that?

If Israel continues to invade Lebanon the resistance movement will grow stronger. If I were Hezbollah I would never surrender my weapons just because a bunch of biased pro-jewish windbags in New York said so. How about Israel surrendering ITS weapons? The UN seems to think that Israeli aggression is permissible, and this makes the UN resolution a worthless scrap of Zionist daydreaming.

The entire problem in the Middle East is Israel, nothing else.

Answer 4

For a while I thought that you knew your international politics, but then... First of all you know that the current president of Lebanon is pro Hezbollah and would never say anything which conflicts with the guerrilla's benefits. Second the legitimate Lebanese government is doing it's best to take control of the whole country but the Israeli government is seizing the opportunity to state the Lebanon can't handle Independence, so it can hit and hit hard.
It's obvious don't you think!

Answer 5

Unfortunately NO! You expressed my feelings exactly 'The final result from all this talking is posturing'. How could anyone be deceived into thinking the UN can or would do any good.

The U.S. should support Israel but not get involved in trying to establish treaties in a region and with cultures that are entirely different from ours. We have only put off the inevitable.

We are living in a very dangerous world and need to be concentrating on taking care of the U.S. We've just spread ourselves too thin.

Most countries hate us, we are inundated with disloyal Americans who have weakened us as a Nation and both groups would celebrate any losses to our Country which will ensue. That is until it affects them personally.

Answer 6

Or get their @ss handed to them in a basket. In 35 days of fighting with tanks, air power and US assistance they managed to advance a whole 18 miles into Lebanon against a technically far inferior army in possession of no tanks, no planes, no satellite imaging, no drones, no smart bombs, no artillery.

I would re-read the treaty. It never states that the Lebanese government has to disarm Hisbollah. It just says they should disarm.

Answer 7

About a snowball's chance in hell.
Hezbollah are unbeaten so they won't disarm unless the israelis agree to disarm. Anything else would be suicide.

Answer 8

Turmoil will continue forever, there can not be any truce ithe region, ceasefire is a very temporary phenomenon in middle-east

Answer 9

israel always broke past cease-fires (such as roadmap, may cease-fire etc) we cannot expect more on this cease fire as israeli allies will lead international forces. they won't stop israel from breaking the ceasefire

Answer 10

look at the history... how many years or should i say .. decades even.......... centuries ..what do you think