Math question?

Question

If Slovakia has a population of 5,400,000 and has a total fertility rate of 1.33 children per woman. How do I figure out what the population will be in 50 years? In order to sustain the population the fertility rate must be 2.05

Answer 1

It depends on the death rate, age of the population and life expectancy. Also, 2.05 is low for population sustainability in an industrialized country. All the articles I've read use 2.1.

Answer 2

Fifty years is two generations from now. Today's childbearing women won't be bearing children then. If the birthrate is low, as it is, then 25 years from now there will be fewer women to give birth, and even fewer 50 years from now.

To answer your question, you must decide whether the birthrate can be improved or not. So add a comment. Without that information, your question cannot be answered.

Answer 3

I think the answer goes something like

if
(5400000)^(2.05x) = 5400000

then x = 1/2.05

so if the fertility rate goes to 1.33 then

(5400000)^(1.33/2.05) = 1330000

This seems a little low so maybe this is not the right way to work it?

Answer 4

death rate must be a factor...
in order to solve this..

Answer 5

not enough information.... You have to factor in death rate.