If he was always wrong, why wouldn't you just plan for the opposite of what he says? That way you'd always know the right weather forecast.
2006-07-06 13:46:48
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answer #1
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answered by Anonymous
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I realize that you don't really want an answer, you just want to complain, but I will give you a serious answer anyway.
A forecaster uses very complex computer-generated models when forecasting the weather. These models describe what will happen in the atmosphere (for instance, concerning winds, temperature, and humidity) over the coming hours or days.
The models are not perfect, partly because the research about the weather is far from finished, and partly because the physics in the atmosphere is so complicated that some approximations have to be made.
But the biggest problem is the fact that the computer models require observational in-data. Information from weather satellites, weather radar, soundings, and weather observations are put into the computer models, and then the computer starts "calculating the weather into the future". But there are not enough weather obserations and weather radars, especially not over the oceans. If this would change, weather forecasts would improve considerably.
2006-07-07 00:52:49
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answer #2
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answered by Barret 3
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A meteorologist (weather man) Is merely guessing based on information he receives from satellite images and barometric pressure gages.
For example if he sees a cold front moving in on a warm day, and the barometric pressure is up, then there is a good chance it may rain.
Farmers used to have to do most of their own guess work so they could water their crops when needed and skip it when rain was expected. They would employ the use of thermometers, pressure gages, and humidity levels to try and guess when the rain would fall.
Weather prediction is more accurate today, However it is still guess work. This is why the weather man will always say there is "a chance of rain" Because it still might not rain at all. He just is letting you know there is a chance so you can prepare yourself if it does rain.
I hope this helps.
2006-07-06 20:23:15
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answer #3
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answered by lovpayne 3
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I think most weathermen average 50-60% accuracy. They rely on atmospheric data, and regional weather trends and standards to estimate what will happen over a short period of time (usualy a week) in the area they're working in.
I do think, however, that some regional or local weathermen tend to "flavor" their predicitons to whatever type of weather they know the local residents prefer. For example, where I live we have a high concentration of elderly men who love notihng more than to sit around coffee shops and whine if it isn't raining on a daily basis.
Every day, the weatherman here predicts rain- every day the people on the Weather Channel say "no rain"- and every day the local weatherman is wrong. We have had one of the single driest seasons on record this year.
So, I left with the conslusion that the local weatherman is trying to bolster a bit of morale in those old fellows praying for rain at the donut hut !
2006-07-06 20:24:56
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answer #4
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answered by Anonymous
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No, the weather people are NOT always wrong. They can only report what weather to expect according to what their equipment is telling them, BUT they do not have control over the weather AND conditions are always changing do to the earths rotation and the atmosphere.
2006-07-07 03:29:08
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answer #5
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answered by hanna 2
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He has gone 20 for 21 days spot on for the last three weeks. It rained for a spot yesterday but other than that Fabulous and he did not predict rain for these last three weeks
2006-07-06 20:20:10
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answer #6
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answered by Neilman 5
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If I was wrong that much on my job I would be fired. But meteorologists have to guess at every thing and use History to do their jobs, I can't really blame them.
They actually do a pretty good job.
2006-07-06 20:21:47
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answer #7
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answered by LN has3 zjc 4
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They're making an educated guess based on meterological information and trends. That's why I call them "weather guessers."
2006-07-06 20:19:38
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answer #8
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answered by Bad Kitty! 7
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no... he reads papers that morons wrote for him... the weather man has no understanding of anything....
2006-07-07 05:42:41
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answer #9
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answered by addy 2
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Thats pretty funny dont you know they are never wrong because they will say
"It may or may not rain"
or
"There is a probablity for rain" etc
2006-07-07 04:47:30
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answer #10
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answered by crackman 3
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