approximately
2006-06-26 14:42:38 · 12 answers · asked by Gobstopper5 2 in Environment
About 1 in 7.
2006-06-26 16:32:07 · answer #1 · answered by Anonymous · 2⤊ 1⤋
Depends on how stupid we are when we build them.
You might refer to the fictional works of Isaac Asimov on this topic; "I, Robot" and "The Rest of the Robots" has some amazingly sophisticated insight on the topic.
Among the most insightful thoughts Asimov had was the "Three Laws of Robotics" that he cooked up, to wit:
1. A robot will not harm, nor by inaction allow harm to come to, a human being
2. A robot will obey all orders given by a human, except where it conflicts with the first law
3. A robot will protect itself from harm, except where it conflicts with the first and second laws
Simple to state, but I suspect monstrously hard to program in--and, as Asimov pointed out, by manipulating the recognition of what is or is not a human, it can be abrogated...
Either way, I don't think that we'll have autonomous robots of sufficient sophistication to take over the world in the next thirty years. Now, if you'd said 2135, you might be a bit better than zippo...
2006-06-26 14:50:25 · answer #2 · answered by gandalf 4 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Note: If this is too much reading for you, jump to the bottom for a non-scientific summary.
Although many science-fiction stories have promoted the idea of robots controlling the world, including Asimov, the idea is actually ridiculous. We are millenniums from developing robots that can think. Granted, there are many people who will claim that we are only a few short years or decades from such robots, but they are merely suffering from the same delusions as others have for centuries. When the first mechanical adding machine was developed, it was proclaimed by many articles to be manufactured thought, a machine that could think. That's the same technology that looks pathetic compared to today's four function calculators. Throughout history we have believed that our current technology is, or almost is manufactured thought.
In reality we do not understand how thought works, and therefore could never program it. A general rule of programming is you must know at least as much about how to do something as you can program a machine to do something. Yes, the machine can do something faster, like calculate the best way to play chess, but the programmer(s) must fully understand how to calculate the best way to play before he can program the machine to do the same. In the same manner, because we do not understand how thought works, we can not program something to think, and without thought, no machine would ever be able to control us.
To those who say we do understand thought, let me clarify. We know when some chemicals are released, and reacted too. We know what portions of our brain is active or reacts during different things. We do not though, understand how completely new thoughts are formed. The idea of a new thought unlike any you've ever had before seems insane, but as small children, we had them all the time. We learned to talk, learned words we never knew before. Before that, we did not think of things in terms of words, and therefore our science falls short of explaining it.
In short, machines can not rule the Earth until they can think. Machines can not think until humans program them to. Humans can not program them to think until they understand how new thoughts are formed. Humans can not understand how new thoughts are formed until we learn to communicate complex ideas without the use of words. Although it is impossible to tell when this ability (Probably in the form of ESP) could be developed in humans, it seems extremely far in the future (Past 2035), if ever. I therefore believe the probability is 0.
2006-06-30 07:37:34 · answer #3 · answered by OrangeKid 1 · 0⤊ 0⤋
2035 is only a few years away from the present 2006. We have all kinds of robots doing all kinds of work for us now but I don't think there's a possibility of machines taking over our world in such a short time period.
2006-06-26 15:14:35 · answer #4 · answered by Bluealt 7 · 0⤊ 0⤋
I think there is a greater probability that the world will end before robots take over. :)
2006-06-30 01:58:55 · answer #5 · answered by laskawolf 2 · 0⤊ 0⤋
Roughly 6%
2006-06-30 12:05:38 · answer #6 · answered by Farmer Andy 1 · 0⤊ 0⤋
"Robot" comes from the Czech word for "worker". The probablility is near zero.
2006-07-01 09:41:18 · answer #7 · answered by Ernie F 1 · 0⤊ 0⤋
about 0.000.
the robots will never take over the world. It's just fiction
2006-06-26 14:48:00 · answer #8 · answered by meow 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
There may not be enough energy available to run them by that time
2006-06-26 14:46:57 · answer #9 · answered by hulo 3 · 0⤊ 0⤋
You are too late to avoid our take over of this miserable spere.
2006-07-01 18:11:08 · answer #10 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 0⤋