How close is Iran believed to actually possessing a nuclear weapon.?

Question

Not the nuclear materials, but the actual weapon itself.

Answer 1

2012 is the prediction....and they're right on schedule... 3 hurdles to go

-90% enriched uranium
-trigger mechanism
-engineered into a warhead

each hurdle is no small feat

Answer 2

Actually, no one really knows. Almost a ton of fissionable material is unaccounted for from the break up of the Soviet Union, but since that process began almost 17 years ago, that material may no longer be useful.

Since the amount of fissionable material needed to make a bomb is not very large, the Iranians are, I believe a year or two away. They also would need to develop the means to detonate, and then test their devices. We probably wouldn't be aware of a test that didn't work. But most countries would be aware very quickly of a test that worked.

Having a bomb is not all that important. Having the will to use AND suffer the consequences, is a whole different matter.

Answer 3

it is trouble-free to assert 70 years later that we could desire to continually no longer have, yet we've been embroiled in a vicious conflict and to have tried to attack japan with floor troops might have led to important try against losses for the U.S, and particular greater civilian casualties than the bomb brought about., so particular. so a techniques as Okinawa and Iwo Jima, here have been 2 vastly smaller islands the place extensive casualties have been taken. Radioactivity? no longer a lot became huge-unfold approximately long term effects on the time, so ....... no longer a component.

Answer 4

hard to say on their own 10 to 20 years but most likely the will receive help from a struggling country like Russia or north Korea for a very small fee so probably very soon

Answer 5

Bush does not know Its too close, but no one knows for sure how close.

Answer 6

bush only knows the answer

Answer 7

just the idea of them thinking about it is enough reason to nuke em....

Answer 8

they dont, we're bullying them because of oil

Answer 9

Too close. Nuke 'em!