Now they say Gov. Romney takes RI and Huckabee takes Iowa? What happened to Rudy and the rest?

Question

This was Fox news, who seem to be hot for Rudy.

Thanks Mike get them mixed up, Duh.

Just wondering Ms. C.C.G. TAke care

That's a real good point Belle, I really don't have faith in the polls anymore with these big swings.

That's what i thought also Poopsie.

Now Bee Bee.

Answer 1

Rudy Giuliani started this election season by refusing to campaign in Iowa, New Hampshire, or any other "small" state. He wanted big, delegate-rich states like Florida, Texas, and California so that he could win big at the nominating conventions. That's where the candidate is really decided, you know. Also, he didn't want to embarrass himself when conservative voters in those states chose not to endorse him. Not campaigning is the perfect defense for a poor showing in polls.

Unfortunately for him, that left Mitt Romney to sweep across Iowa, New Hampshire, and other early states, building up massive organizations and raising heaps of money (he still has raised more than any other Republican in the race). A string of wins early on could derail Giuliani's hopes to "win big" on Super Tuesday, as more people would take Romney's ground support as evidence that he's worth investigating further, and even supporting.

Then Mike Huckabee comes along in Iowa, where there are more evangelicals than in any early voting state (except possibly South Carolina), and passes Romney in the polls. Not by too large a margin, though, and not in every poll. His new lead has already started slipping as Iowans learn more and discover that he's not the ideal candidate they supposed him to be.

The early voting states are not to be ignored, as Giuliani is discovering. He started pouring money into New Hampshire and Michigan, but too late to build any solid bases of operations. Fred Thompson made the same mistake, yes, by waiting as long as he did to "officially" enter the race. All he can do is syphon conservative votes, which will not be enough to gain strong enough showings. The early states will effectively have to decide between Romney, Huckabee, and John McCain, whose 2000 campaign set-up is still largely in place.

If Huckabee does well in Iowa, then he could pose a challenge to Romney in the later states. That is the reason for his media swell in the last month. It's like Thompson's campaign, though; a lot of excitement over a new "dark horse" that's already started to fade now that people are actually paying attention. He's doing well among evangelicals and conservatives, but as his low numbers in New Hampshire show, that is not enough to stay competitive. Romney can still defeat him in Michigan, where he grew up and where his father was governor, and if he does well enough in Iowa then those three states could still carry him to a victory in South Carolina and later in Florida.

Romney has the best chance to be competitive with Giuliani later on. Numbers show that Giuliani's strong leadership is more of a factor in later states where conservativism is not that important to GOP voters. Romney has demonstrated that he is every bit the strong executive that Giuliani is, and more. If he can win early, then he can compete later, especially given his vast personal fortune that can allow him to keep campaigning. After all, this is the most expensive presidential election in history. Can't make the scene if you don't have the green.

Anyway, that's why Romney and Huckabee are receiving so much attention now. It's anyone's guess as to whether Huckabee could defeat Giuliani in the primary, but Romney definitely could. All he needs to do is win often enough early enough. The only thing standing in his way is Huckabee.

Answer 2

It's funny, Rudy seemed to plummet in the polls just as soon as Pat Robertson endorsed him! 8^D

It's still WAAAY too early to tell. But I always thought Giuliani had too many negatives to win the nomination. And Romney's Mormonism is a bigger issue now than before his speech. I don't think either of these guys really have a chance. (But then Huckabee has some serious negatives too, so who's to say?)

Answer 3

I doubt that Rhode Island would not be very significant. New Hampshire is the first primary state.

What will likely happen is that Huckabee will win Iowa, Romney will win New Hampshire and then Huckabee will win South Carolina. That will position him to take the next couple states and put him in a great spot to win on Super Tuesday.

Then he will get smoked by whoever the Democratic candidate is. Huckabee is flawed and will be tied to his clemency scandals as governor, coverups of his son's depravity, and just when will we see the content of his sermons?

Answer 4

The polls, depending on who is doing them for one, may be geared toward a specific segment of the population. Or they may be skewed in other ways. I personally do not believe in them.

I am not a Huckabee fan when his past has a lot that needs to be reckoned with.

I like Romney and feel he just might be the man for the job, he has many accomplishments, and is a morally based person. I feel he has the right credentials.

However, it is too early to tell as Giuliani also brings much to the table when you hear him speak, and his past experience.

I would just like to see someone with values and the decency to do the right thing for America, and our people.

.

Answer 5

Rudy will fall if Huckabee's & Romney's momentum carries through to remaining states.

Answer 6

I don't know but I'm disgusted. I had high hopes for Rudy.

Romney is okay but not thrilled with him.

Huckebee, I don't trust. I don't like his fair tax stance. First, because it isn't going to happen and I dislike it when politicians promise that which isn't feasibly realistic and second, because I have doubts that it will benefit the lower classes.

Answer 7

Rudy is in new york, looking for the missing funds, the rest are looking for Rudy,

Answer 8

Romney & "Huckleberry" will fade. It's still early and there is no way either will win big states like California!

Answer 9

well he seems to be going down, don't trust the polls anyway

Answer 10

They say, they say, they say.....When the voting ends, what will they say then....