Does Bush want war with Iran - and need Iran to start it - Or is he fully commited to diplonmacy as he says?

Question

There are a lot of Air craft carriers off the coast of Iran

The out going 5th fleet commander warned of a possible accidental war due to congestion - easy errors more or less when it is that croweded

There is likely no hope of further sanctions from the UN as 2 veto wielding nations are consolidated by the US NIE report

Even if sanctions go through they will be watered down with no teeth in them

It seems to me that Bush does want a war with Iran

But needs Iran to start that war -

Answer 1

I am in the middle east and the newspapers over here say that he is trying to drum up support for a "Regime Change" in Iran also.

I think Bush wants it and needs Iran to start it.

Answer 2

If Bush was fully committed to diplomacy with Iran, he wouldn't be talking about world war III and Rice would be having high level talks with Iran's ministers and president.

After the NIE, Bush can no longer say that Iran is on the brink of making nuclear weapons, so an excuse is needed. Bush was bellicose last year when British sailors were captured by Iranians and tensions were high enough then. Loading up the Gulf with even more US ships and aircraft carriers sounds like a recipe for an air war at the very least.

Answer 3

I think Bush wants to invade Iran. HOWEVER, I think he will be unable to thanks to the NIE that was leaked out over Irans Nuke program or lack therof. I really hope though there will be back channel diplomacy that will bring the US and Iranians to the bargaining table. Neither side wants to look weak which is why I think back channel diplomacy is crucial. Once unofficially both sides have come to terms, then I would love to see both sides officially start talking. Would the US beat the Iranians in a war? Sure. But I don't think we could bear the cost in blood or treasury. Also, I have no beef with the Iranians and I honestly don't want any of them to be hurt. Future generations should not have to bear the burden for the sins of our fathers. (The US overthrowing the democratically elected government of Iran and the Iranians holding our people hostage at our embassy.)

Answer 4

I think Bush has been testing the waters, seeing how the public would react. He tried to link the Iranian government to terrorism in Iraq, but that didn't do it. Then he talked about Iran's nuclear ambitions. Before the NIA came out, according to polls on the situation (www.pollingreport.com) most Americans did believe Iran was mostly likely pursuing nuclear weapons, but an overwhelming majority wanted diplomacy and not war. The NIA report sort of sealed it for him, his hands are pretty much tied and he has to pursue diplomacy whether he wants to or not. As for an incident sparking a war, it's doubtful. If there was an isolated incident, say in the Gulf, it'd be hard to turn that into an act of agressive war by Iran, especially if Iran rushes to say they weren't making agressive war, merely defending their territorial waters.

Answer 5

Well, I don't think GWB actually knows what he wants. A lot of his neocon handlers want a war with Iran, but his two formal chiefs in the area of foreign policy, Sec. of State Rice and Sec. of Defense Gates, do NOT want war with Iran. That may well be why the NIE report became public. Now, they will be on the rise and the hawks will fail, unless Iran starts the war, as you say. That actually is quite hopeful, since the president of Iran, whatever else anyone might think of him, is clearly one of the most intelligent world leaders. Note how moderate his comments have been since that report came out.

Answer 6

If Bush wanted war with Iran he would have used the fact that Iran was supplying terrorist with ammunition and bombs as an excuse to go to war. Iran is, at the moment, working with us. Bush doesn't want another war. Iran will be an example of diplomatic pressure for future Presidents. Iran is still hurting due to economic sanctions, while Iraq did well because of the "Oil for Food" abuses the U.N. indulged in.

Bush doesn't want anymore wars. Talking, dealing, and sanctioning Iran is his ultimate goal, and now that Iran is surrounded, they're starting to work with us.

Answer 7

dont complication, there will be no warfare on Iran, its all warm air...Bush's term in workplace is finished next 3 hundred and sixty 5 days, do you particularly believe that u . s . of america who's already stretched in Iraq would combat yet another united states of america like Iran, Iran isn't Iraq, this warfare in Iraq won't be a warfare it is extra an occupation. An American invasion of Iran is for loss of a extra helpful be conscious, suicide....which would be a actual warfare...I dont think of with in basic terms till next 3 hundred and sixty 5 days in workplace he would try this style of ingredient, i think of he's purely attempting to scare the Iranian leaders so as that they are able to offer up Ahmanijad themselves.

Answer 8

I learned a long time ago that I cannot predict what Bush will do or what he's thinking...

That being said - I strongly dislike Iran but would probably move out of the country if we went to war again.

Who would fight such a war?

Answer 9

what bush wants is iran to be denied the bomb. the choice of how is up to them. considering clintons abysmal response to al qaeda this is clearly a welcome change and according to the report that the liberals are currently whining about, international pressure is the ONLY reason the original quest for the bomb was abandoned in the first place. though certainly no war is desirable, if you think theyre going to join you on the mountaintop to sing kumbayah, your sadly mistaken.

Answer 10

What the people of the world want and posture for is completely irrelevant to the potential choice that only a few oil men are capable of executing.Please pass the squishy banana.