Why do some people think Obama can win if America has only 10 percent African Americans?

Question

People usually vote for someone they feel close to, like a father or a brother if you will, it's not only the political ideas by far

So if the US population is only about 10 percent African American then why do certain people think Obama can win?

A vast majority of the 10 percent will vote Obama
A vast majority of the 90 percent will vote non-Obama

Do you follow my logic?

Icorp we agree. My 'vast majority' is your 75 percent. So he would get 75 percent times 90 percent that is 67 percent

Well 'maybe people will be able to look past race' sounds beautiful, but superstar Oprah just blew it, she campains with Obama...

Those who say my logic is flawed lemme ask you this: what percentage of African Americans voted Sharpton or Keyes in the past? Like high or low?

Hmmm i'd be willing to stretch my vote towards Obama only if Obama promised to suppress all illegal immigration in this country (no amnesty but return to Mex) but so far only someone like RP08 or Tancredo08 will do it (promises to do it).

Following my logic 75 percent latinos would vote Richardson (ie non-Obama), and 75 percent asians would vote for [unknown]. I'm eager to see the results in 08 maybe my prediction is good

Answer 1

I would never vote for a black person. Or a woman. Or a man. Or a White. Or an Asian. Or an American Indian.

I will vote for the candidate I think is best for the country and that is Senator Obama this time. Been a Republican since I turned 21.

Answer 2

What? Some young man says that Obama has 75 % of Blacks? That is bull. I do research constantly, and that is not accurate. I hope that Obama does not win. He is too fresh behind the ears. Nothing against him. He needs more experience. The Media is wrong about him being a Muslim. He is not. But he just doesn't have the back bone right now. Maybe in another four years. I do like him, but not for President this time.

Answer 3

Obama has the friggin lead over Hillary right now, so he obviously has a chance of winning.Some white Americans took the words of Dr. King seriously to judge on the content of character and not color.

As for Sharpton, I didnt vote for him and Im African American, hes a race baiter. Keyes is adored by white people more than black people. And Jesse actually did well, he came in 3rd overall in 84. America is VERY diverse its not inconcevable a Hispanic or a black person can win..

Answer 4

African Americans which actually make up 13% of the population (and is historically undercounted) makes up a large portion of the democratic party, probably about 30%. Its said that if 50% of blacks turned republican the democrats could theoretically never win another election.

As for this current race, black americans make up 50% of the electorate in South Carolina..Which is a mus win state for Obama...So if he dosent carry the African American vote there he'll lose the enitre state and likely the election..

Answer 5

How do you think people GET elected if voters need to feel as connected to a candidate as they would to "a father or brother"? The vast majority of candidates are rich, privileged, and white; America's voting pool is economically, educationally, and racially diverse. Yet time and time again, it is the youth demographic that has the lowest turnout, not, say, blacks, high-school dropouts, or blue-collar workers.

Not to mention, how in the world do you think Obama could even be a national front-runner if his only supportive demographic was African-Americans? For that matter, how could Hillary Clinton run without the support of men? Or Mitt Romney without the support of non-Mormons? Front-runners need a broad base of support to BE front-runners; do you really think that all the people who presently support them as candidates would suddenly change their minds not go out and vote for them simply because of the color of their skin or the amount of money in their bank account?

Your logic is inherently flawed, and every election since 1789 confirms it.

Answer 6

i be attentive to a some states that vote for Kerry in 2004 will choose for McCain this time around, Michigan because of the fact obama did not needed to have a election there that counts. And Pennsylvania that is my homestead state. because of the fact he lost the democrat election here. This state has many reasonable Reagan Democrats in it. this must be an extremely close race. Its like my homestead city of Philadelphia vs something of the state. i think of this time McCain ought to win because of the fact allot of democrats won't vote this election or vote McCain. So i will positioned this state in McCain column. The west coast states may additionally choose for McCain Oregon and Washington could desire to ok choose for McCain. or perhaps california could be lots closer for a metamorphosis do to Arnold Arnold schwarzenegger and Arizona is next to it. the finished lakes states and midwest state execept for Michigan ought to choose for Obama. additionally in line with probability McCain can stole one or 2 states in New England too. besides the undeniable fact that it's going to be not uncomplicated simply by Ted Kennedy and John Kerry because of the fact they the two are from there. yet, i will New Jersey or long island going for McCain besides. long island is the place Hillary is from and New Jersey is a back and forth state, although latey it fairly is a democrat state.. yet why do I care I going to vote self reliant in any case. I in simple terms discover the stats are interesting. I actually have a feeling McCain gets a minimum of three states that voted for Kerry final time. And Obama my p.c.. up another small states interior the mid west or great plains area that Bush picked up final time. besides the undeniable fact that it is not fairly sufficient to overcome McCain simply by those Obama turns over.

Answer 7

I don't think so. Racism died out in the 60s, except in conservative areas of the country (which won't vote for Obama anyway).

Obama is the most electable of the 3 Democrats, as Hillary is too conservative (on social issues and the war) and Edwards is way too liberal on economic issues. Obama is seen as the peace candidate (though he really isn't) and is more socially liberal than Hillary and less fiscally liberal than Edwards. His positions are closest to those of the American people out of the 3 Democrats, which makes him clearly the best of the 3 candidates.

The fact that Obama is black does not affect his electability at all, except in backward states that won't vote for the Democrats anyway. Hillary is unpopular among the Democrats themselves and will draw a low turnout. Edwards turns away the moderates (who are socially liberal, fiscally conservative, and staunchly anti-war) with his extreme economic views.

If you look at the polls, Obama consistently does better than Hillary or Edwards against Republican candidates. While Hillary is admittedly better at convincing those morons known as "undecided" voters to vote for her (she is a great debater and debates are for the undecideds), Obama is still the most electable of the 3 "top-tier" Democrats and the one Democrats should go with if they are serious about taking back the White House. However, Hillary appears to be likely to take the nomination.

Answer 8

Barrack Obama will not be our next president, but it has nothing to do with these inaccurate numbers you present. Many whites will vote for him, just like many men will vote for Hillary Clinton.

Barrack Obama's biggest obstacle is going to be the independents, who will be deciding this election. It is just about guaranteed that democrats will vote for Clinton or Obama depending on who gets the parties nomination, and republicans will vote for Romney or Guliani, depending on who gets the republican nomination. I know there is a lot of fuss about Huckabee right now, but the RNC will not give him the nomination because he can not beat Clinton.

The independents are not satisfied with either party right now, and haven't been for many years. This is because the democrats appear weak on national security, preventing criminal immigration, and make no effort to hide there desire to raise taxes. Republicans have left a bad taste in our mouth because they have neglected the middle class, and are in the pockets of big business and there lobbyists.

Answer 9

Have you thought of the idea, that white people might vote for him? Hispanics? Asians? Illegal aliens with driver licenses... Imagine something crazy like that happening, people voting based on the issues instead of skin color, what a crazy idea! Is it new?

Answer 10

Where did you get those bullshit figures, Obama has like 75% of the african american vote.