What are the chances Johan Santana does NOT get traded?

Question

I wouldn't mind an explanation. [:)]

Answer 1

75/25. 75 being him being traded. Because, the Twins need to get him out of Minnesota. They know thier is no chance of them getting the money Santana wants, and must pull the trigger even if the deal is not so great.

Answer 2

Well the Usual suspects are involved still, He will be traded but we don't know where yet.


Ellsbury seems key in any deal with Red Sox

There's still no imminent trade involving Twins ace Johan Santana, but Boston's young center fielder keeps coming up in discussions.

By JOE CHRISTENSEN, Star Tribune

Last update: December 11, 2007 - 12:37 AM



The Twins continued exploring potential trade options for Johan Santana on Monday, picking up where they left off at last week's winter meetings.

While no deal appeared imminent, there were indications that in their talks with the Red Sox, the Twins were focused on a package headlined by center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury.

The Red Sox have offered Ellsbury and pitcher Jon Lester in separate deals, while refusing to include both in the same offer. Of those two options, the Twins were said to be leaning toward a package of Ellsbury, infield prospect Jed Lowrie and relief prospect Justin Masterson, with the sides haggling over a fourth player.

Meanwhile, the Twins' talks with the Yankees remained dormant. According to a person close to the talks, Yankees lefthander Kei Igawa was one of several players the sides discussed last week, along with righthander Phil Hughes and center fielder Melky Cabrera.

Igawa has four years and $16 million remaining on his contract, and though he struggled last year, some scouts say they think he could benefit from a change of scenery.

Mets General Manager Omar Minaya sounded optimistic about his team's chances of landing Santana late last week, but others have all but ruled the Mets out. It's been said Santana would need to fall into Minaya's lap because he won't part with shortstop Jose Reyes and has limited pitching prospects.

Some say that despite the Mets' reservations about Santana's cost -- including talent for the trade and money for his contract extension -- they feel compelled to stay involved so fans can't accuse them of ignoring an opportunity.

The Angels remain a wild card. The Twins have expressed interest in pitcher Jered Weaver among others, but it's unclear how serious the sides have been engaged. The Angels -- who missed out on a trade for third baseman Miguel Cabrera, who went from the Marlins to the Tigers -- still view offense as their top priority.

Instead of merely discussing 3-for-1 and 4-for-1 options, some teams have asked the Twins to add a second piece to go with Santana -- including various prospects -- to make it more enticing for those teams to give up major league-ready talent.

Speaking only generally of the pace of trade talks since the winter meetings, Twins GM Bill Smith said, "I don't think the mode has really changed. There was an intense week of discussion, but I think a lot of that continues. We're trying to move forward and continue the discussions and thought processes that were discussed down there."
Etc.



Staff writer La Velle E. Neal III contributed to this story.

Answer 3

Not Good because the Twins would much rather receive top prospects rather than one year of Johan playing for them, which they don't need right now because they aren't going to do too well this year because they're losing all of their good players like Hunter, and a couple of draft picks. They can't sign Johan themselves so they have to trade him and want to get some young players that are major league ready, preferably a top notch starter that can replace Johan but will be staying longer.

Answer 4

I think he will get traded no matter what. Yes the twins are good, but not good enough to do much damage, Santana wants MONEY and a chance to win. The twins do have the money, there owner does not want to give Boston or New York dollar signs.... So he will be traded because they know they will lose him, makes more sense to trade to get something back for him....

Answer 5

probably 75% that he leaves and 25% he stays cuz the Twins and Red Sox have a deal all made they only need to sign and the Red Sox have Johan but Twins can always say no and keep him. But I hope Its a 0% chance he goes to Boston and 100% he goes to New york... Not the Yankees.. THE METS!!! COME TO THE METS!!!!

Answer 6

The Twins overplayed their hand. They were hoping the Red Sox and Yankees would try to outbid one another as Minnesota made more demands for players. It appears the Twins are again going to be dismantled as contracts for their current stars come due.....Santana will get dealt in a lesser deal than the Twins wish for or he - and others over the next couple of years - will be lost to free agency.

Answer 7

They're going to wait for July to roll around and look at the "feeding frenzy" from the pitching poor clubs--watch for Bosox or Yanks to really get into it(or maybe even the Chi-sox(if Kenny Williams will dole out some talent).If he doesn't get traded by spring training,this will be a crazy July trading war! Twins want ALOT!-I hope your Cubs make a move for him!

Answer 8

0% chance. They can't afford him after this season and his agent has said publicly that he WILL NOT waive his no-trade clause after the season starts. He will be traded no doubt, it's just a matter of who & when now. The RED SOX have offered the best package of players that will best address their needs but the TWINS are trying to hold out for more, the SOX are set right now and can wait as long as the TWINS can. My best guess is it will happen within the next 2 weeks.

Answer 9

As good as he does become a free agent and goes to another team, right now anything thing can happen. but all I am afairad that we can do is wiat and guess, if he will be tradeded, ro he will sign as a free agent with another team, for all we know he might stay with the team that he is with now. Just like I have been saying, let's just wait to see what happens.

Answer 10

Think they held on to long.But then if they don't move him now there is always a move before the trade deadline and those deals sometimes have a way of being alot better then they are now.