Can Ron Paul really win?

Question

I just don't know?

Answer 1

Only in America can the underdog have a hance to pull off the upset.

Yes he can!

Answer 2

No, he can't. The way in which our primary/caucus system is set up is essentially the reason. Most of the states in the US have a "closed primary" system where voters may only vote along party lines. In other words, a registered republican may only vote for a republican, just as a registered democrat may only vote for a democrat. Even if someone wanted to vote across party lines, they would not be allowed (unless they had an "open primary" or "blanket primary"). The closed primary system, therefore, has a voter turnout of people who are more or less party line voters. This is the key point here! Since Ron Paul is a Libertarian, he will most likely not attain a "plurality" or the majority necessary to win while running as a Republican. One must keep this in mind: our primary system doesn’t pick the candidate who is most likely to win, but rather the most liberal or conservative candidate because most of the voters who turnout are exactly that. Take Barack Obama. He appeals to a large majority of Americans, and many argue that he is more "electable" than HRC, yet every single poll has shown that Hillary has a formidable lead. Coincidence? I think not.

Answer 3

I think he can if he gets his message out. I am leaning more and more toward supporting a Ron Paul candidacy. I don't agree with everything he says but I do agree with his constitutional arguments. I think he is the only candidate pushing true change in this election. I am going to write a letter to everyone I know and ask them to at least look at the website and then make a decision.

Even if he doesn't win, he may make a difference if he gets a large percentage of the vote. Sooner or later the "mainstream" is going to realize that the disenfranchised voting block is getting larger than the party loyalist block.

Answer 4

I think that the grass roots support will shock everyone because I happen to know that lots of people around here are wanting to vote for Ron Paul. He just might surprise everyone! I pray it is so because he is the only candidate that doesn't act like a dictator waiting to happen. He wants to just do the job the President is supposed to do according to the Constitution not to take control of every person's life and tell them what to do and how much more taxes they will need and how we need to attack Iran and stay in Iraq and how we need to let them erase our national borders and be willing to become globally minded with Mexico and Canada. That is not what I want to have happen to America! And a lot of other people agree with me! As you can tell when Ron Paul raised $4.3 million dollars in one day from over 38,000 people. That was in one day. He has already surpassed everyone else's fund raising goals with his campaign's supports average donations of less then $100. I think he could just shock everyone out of their wits!

Answer 5

Yes. Grassroots supporters are in the millions and are launching a blimp on Monday (http://www.ronpaulblimp.com/).
He could win NH if the vote was today. And the money bomb is coming December 15th that will give him huge publicity and an increase in the polls. He is only going to increase in popularity.

Freedom does not divide us, it unites us. That is why Ron Paul will win!

Answer 6

Republicans have a real conundrum here.

Either they nominate Paul, or he will break off, run as a libertarian and peel enough votes away from the GOP nominee to put Hillary or Obama in the White House.

Paul has plenty of money and support to run a libertarian campaign.

Answer 7

As the Mythbusters say, "Plausible but highly unlikely". Too far back too late in the game. Tancredo may still be a dark horse but not Ron Paul. He is too much of an isolationist.

Pat Buchanan ran on the same issue. He made more of a splash but still was only an ''also-ran".

.

Answer 8

Yes. His supporters have been canvassing across the country, getting signatures and putting his name out. Huckabee supporters are having problems coordinating so late in the game (and there are so few of them willing to do any actual work).

Answer 9

He probably could if he were a Republican orf a Democrat but if he runs as an Independent he is going to be out of luck!

Lo Siento!

Answer 10

Ive never heard him speak, so he is going to have to get a lot more exposure if he is going to win.