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like when it is profitable and when it is not profitable?

2007-12-06 17:48:41 · 3 answers · asked by Anonymous in Business & Finance Investing

3 answers

Your question is like asking "How to predict the weather" in both complexity and probability. You can look at a cloud, or the temperature, and tell what the weather is going to do in the next minute, but what about tomorrow or next week? In an hour it may be raining or snowing, and you may be rich or poor. There are simply too many variables to "predict" anything concerning the weather or the markets. There are no crystal balls.

A better analogy to your question would be to ask, "How to predict human emotion or human behavior?" The stock market is probably more than 50% psychology.

Rather than trying to "predict," we try to ascertain trends, react to changes early, and try to determine whether the mood of the fed and economy are accomodating.

Nothing in life is guaranteed; there is no 100% right or correct method of living or trading or investing. We can only hope to increase our percentage of being right through knowledge and method, but even these are not infallible.

Don't let the chart fool you that it is predictable; many things are predictable in hindsight. At any given moment, you have a 50% chance of being right in the next moment, or not.

2007-12-07 03:50:08 · answer #1 · answered by Anonymous · 1 0

Two ways: technical analysis or historical data.

Historical data shows a trend of the past performance of the stock market. It may help you to predict the future performance of the stock market.

Technical analysis enables you to draw chart and analysis other information to predict the future stock market.

2007-12-07 08:08:57 · answer #2 · answered by draox 1 · 0 0

Predicting is a no no situation.

The question should be 'How to research the stock?'

Get some idea from here http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index;_ylt=AjrQZMfOurEGRhWCS4uPepXty6IX;_ylv=3?qid=20071130232957AAuAYPI&show=7#profile-info-0cd24664a02cf0a6d5f00a53b6d37919aa

2007-12-07 05:25:42 · answer #3 · answered by Alfred Chew 2 · 0 0

Heh

Good one.

You really need to learn more before you start investing

2007-12-07 02:05:49 · answer #4 · answered by Ranto 7 · 0 0

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