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A huge vat is full of marbles all mixed together, with a number written on it. 20% of the marbles have a "0", 30% have a "1", 10% have a "15", 10% have a "30", 10% have a "80" , and the rest have a"100". Let Y be a number written on a randomly-selected marble (round all answers to four decimal places)

[a]The mean of the random variable Y is:?

[b]The Standard Dev. of Y is:?

[c]Take 20 marbles. What is the probability that the number of "ones" is at most 5:?

[d]Take 100 Marbles. What is the prob. that the number of "ones" is at most 25:?

[e]The prob of the average of numbers on n=25 is less than 35 is:?
For a sample of n=81 it would be:?
For a sample of n=400 it would be:?
For a sample of n=1600 it would be:?
For a sample of n=6400 it would be:?

2007-11-30 06:00:32 · 3 answers · asked by Dani S 524 1 in Science & Mathematics Mathematics

3 answers

a) mean is just a weighted average:
m = .20(0) + .30(1) + .1(15) + .1(30) + .1(80) +.2(100) = 32.8

b) standard deviation:
SD = sqrt[.20((-32.8)^2) + .30((-31.8)^2) + .10((-17.8)^2) + .10((-2.8)^2) + .10(47.2^2) +.20(67.2^2)] = 39.0629

c) Since it's a "huge vat", we'll assume that taking out 20 marbles doesn't affect the proportions of the different kinds of marbles in the vat. The probability of exactly

zero "ones" = (1-.3)^20 = 0.000797923
one "one" = 20(.3*.7^19) = 0.006839337
two "ones" = (20*19)(.3^2*.7^18)/2 = 0.027845873
three "ones" = (20*19*18)(.3^3*.7^17)/6 = 0.071603672
four "ones" = ... = 0.130420974
five "ones" = ... = 0.178863051

Adding these up gives 0.416370829 as the probability of getting at most five "ones".

d) Exact same logic as before gives probability of 0.163130104 for getting at most twenty-five "ones".

e) sorry, no time to work on this last one -- you'll have to find someone else.

2007-11-30 06:32:53 · answer #1 · answered by smcwhtdtmc 5 · 0 0

let Y=number written
y ---- p(y)
0-----0.20
1-----0.30
15----0.10
30----0.10
80----0.10
100--0.20
mean= E(y) = sum y(i).p(y(i) for each i
0(0.20)+1(0.30)+15(0.10)+30(0.10)+80(0.10)+100(0.20)=0+0.3+1.5+3.0+8.0+20.0=32.8
b) find variance of y
[y-E(y)]^2
[0-32.8]^2=1075.84
[1-32.8]^2=1011.24
..
..
[100-32.8]^2=4515.84
add all (y-E(y))^2 and take its square root.
It's your standard deviation.
c)prob (y=1)=0.30
Use a Binomial distribution with n=20 p=0.3
x=0,1,2,3,4,5 and sum these values
Use the source if you don't have a Binomial table.=0.4164
d)n=100 p=0.3 x=0 through 25.
=0.1631
e) The question is not clear. What is your definition of n? I have defined n as my number of marbles. The probability of a marble showing less than 35 is 0.70 from the table.
average of numbers is 32.8 .
p(av < 35)=p(z < (35-32.8)/sd/sqrt(25)) -- (1)assuming a normal distribution)
sd can be computed from the table.
for a sample of n=81
replace 25 by 81 in (1)
and so on. Use the normal table to evaluate these probabilities.

2007-11-30 14:47:51 · answer #2 · answered by cidyah 7 · 0 0

....0 | 0.20 |.. 0.0 | 215.168
....1 | 0.30 |.. 0.3 | 303.372
..15 | 0.10 |.. 1.5 |.. 31.684
..30 | 0.10 |.. 3.0 |.... 0.784
..80 | 0.10 |.. 8.0 | 222.784
100 | 0.20 | 20.0 | 903.168
[a] μ = 32.8
[b] σ ≈ 40.95070
[c] 1 - 0.7^15 ≈ 0.9952524
[d] 1 - 0.7^75 ≈ 1.0
[e] Z = 5(35 - 32.8) / 40.95070 = 0.2686157
P(m < 35) = 0.605889
etc.

2007-11-30 16:28:59 · answer #3 · answered by Helmut 7 · 0 0

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