Which one of these young sluggers listed will wind up with the most CAREER home runs?

Question

This is a two part question:

Which one of these young sluggers will wind up with the most career homeruns?

Rank the players 1-10 based on how many career home runs they will hit? 1st being the most and 10th being the least.

1. Carlos Pena
2. Justin Morneau
3. Álex Ríos
4. Nick Swisher
5. Prince Fielder
6. Ryan Howard
7. Matt Holliday
8. Miguel Cabrera
9. Chris Young
10. David Wright

Here's my list:
1. Matt Holliday
2. Prince Fielder
3. Ryan Howard
4. David Wright
5. Justin Morneau
6. Chris Young
7. Miguel Cabrera
8. Nick Swisher
9. Alex Rios
10. Carlos Pena

I think Fielder, Howard and Cabrera's careers will be cut short by the fact they all have weight issues. Extra weight will eventually lead to knee and joint problems that will end their career.

Carlos Pena was a one year flash in the pan.

Alex Rios has no protection in the line up in Toronto.

Swisher, Morneau and Wright will all be affected by the big ball parks they play in un less they eventually sign with another team. As they get older some of the balls they hit out now will become pop flys.

Chris Young is a lead off guy and strikes out alot.

Answer 1

1. Howard - he has a pretty big start despite being a little older. If he stays in Philly, he's good for 50 a year for another 5-7 years before he tapers off.
2. Prince Fielder - very young, very powerful. As long as he stays in shape, no reason he doesn't hit 500-600
3. Cabrera - this guy has the ability no question, but (1) he needs to stay in shape and (2) he needs to get to a smaller ball park and he's a 50 HR guy as well
4. Justin Morneau - staying healthy is a concern, but he's good for 40 a year for some time
5. Holliday - I hear what you're saying, but Matt is a complete hitter - he'll take what you give him and stay around 35 HR and 45 doubles - he's not all about power
6. Alex Rios - it took a while, but he's about to become a 35-40 HR per year guy
7. David Wright - playing in Shea is holding his numbers down, and there's no indication he's leaving the Mets for many years
8. Carlos Pena - seems to have found his swing in a town where no one cares - still likely to be a journeyman slugger, but can produce 27-35 HR's per year for a while yet
9. Nick Swisher - Colliseum is not helping his numbers - I'm just not sold on him
10. Chris Young - too early to tell and he can't seem to hit a curve ball

Answer 2

I think Holliday is a great player, but he's hurt by the fact that he's already trailing Howard, who is the same age. He's also four years older than Fielder:

1) Prince Fielder (only 23 and already hitting 50)
2) Ryan Howard
3) Miguel Cabrera (still only 24, already at 138 homers)
4) David Wright
5) Matt Holliday
6) Justin Morneau
7) Alex Rios
8) Chris Young
9) Carlos Pena
10) Nick Swisher

Answer 3

Prince fielder
Ryan Howard
Matt Holliday
Carlos Pena
David Wright
Justin Mornaeu
Miguel Cabrera
Alex Rios
Chris Young
Nick Swisher

Answer 4

1.Miguel Cabrera
2.Prince Fielder
3.Ryan Howard
4.Matt Holliday
5.Justin Morneau
6.David Wright
7.Carlos Pena
8.Álex Ríos
9.Chris Young
10.Nick Swisher

Answer 5

10-Carlos Pena, he's a one year wonder and not that young
9-Alex Rios, not that good of a homerun hitter
8-Nick Swisher, constantly injured
7-Chris Young, not good enough of a hitter to hit HRs consistanly
6-Ryan Howard, is in the prime of career right now,HR #s will only decrease
5-Justin Morneau, will only hit about 30 HRs a year
4-David Wright, wild style of play will eventually get him injured
3-Matt Holliday, if he leaves Rockies, which will eventually happen, his HR #s will only drop because he'll be leaving a HR park
2-Miguel Cabrera, weight issues will get to him
1-Prince Fielder, 50 HRs at 23 years old, it's not even fair

Answer 6

Wheres Robinson Cano? The kid is a beast. He is 25 and his HR total has gone up every year. He will one day lead the league in Batting Average and have 30 HRs. Dont leave him out of the picture. Carlos Peña is also like 33 so he is not that young.

Answer 7

Where's Josh Fields? He played half a season and had 23 homers and he's only 25.

Howard
Cabrera
Holliday
Fielder
Wright
Swisher
Morneau
Fields
Rios
Young-doubt he'll ever have another season with 30 homers
Pena-1 good year, too old.

Answer 8

10
5
6
7
8
9
2
3
1
4
P.S. To the guy who said Shea is bringing down David Wright's numbers... there is only one more season of Shea.... then comes Citi Field.

Answer 9

Lampley: Did you hear Ray "Boom Boom" Mancini in the Jungle today?

I would say in order:

10
6
5
7
8
1
9
3
4
2

Answer 10

Howard
Cabrera
Holliday
Wright
Morneua
Fielder
Rios
Swisher
Pena
Young