I'm hearin contradictory news about his progress regarding the polls: Some say he's leading...others say he's trailing behind at least five Republican candidates. Where's the truth?
Please explain...
2007-11-27 05:37:03 · 14 answers · asked by Ash'ari Maturidi 5 in Politics & Government ➔ Elections
Here's my opinion:
The published "Polls" are very misleading because it is NOT a random poll of all eligible voters. It is a voluntary poll of maybe between 160 people and 2000 people usually already affiliated with one of the 2 major parties. That's the sad reason why 3rd party candidates, don't even show up on the polls.
Ron Paul must make a good showing in New Hampshire, because the whole country will see the final results. If he makes a good showing, which I think he will, people will start to read his views nation wide.
In all probability this will have a snowball rolling downhill effect on his popularity,,,,,which "Could" sweep him right into the White House.
However his anti-Constitutionalist dis tractors will try anything & everything to discredit him, for reasons unknown to me.
I would say the straw polls are just as good of an indicator of his popularity, as the land-line polls.
http://www.ronpaul2008.com/straw-poll-results/
...And he's doing very well in those, all over the country.
Thank you for the question.
*********************************************************
2007-11-27 07:22:47 · answer #1 · answered by beesting 6 · 2⤊ 3⤋
Paul has a very loyal following. I think some of his ideas are downright kooky but I have to say I greatly admire his honesty and forthrightness, and his independence from the 'party line' of the GOP.
When you vote for the Republicans you are not voting for the man but for the agenda. Some shadowy cabal deep in the party comes up with the official positions and policies. The president is only a 'spokesmodel' who sells this agenda to the public. This is why GW Bush made such a good candidate for them, a man with no agenda of his own, no actual political thinking, who would just read what they put in front of him. It's also why all the 'major' Repub. candidates today have all the same opinions on all the same issues.
Ron Paul is a maverick! He has his own ideas and his own agenda. It makes him much more interesting to listen to, but the party doesn't like that at all. They can't trust him with their agenda! So they will not let him get the nomination. If he gets too far ahead in the polls, they will -slime- him, as they did with McCain in 2000. (Notice how different John McCain sounds in this election?)
In my time (I am 'middle aged') there have been two candidates who were not the favorites of their party leaders, but who managed to get the party nominations by using a dedicated cadre of loyal ideological followers, mosty young people, rather than just to spend the most money. They were both very respectable men in their way, both mavericks who had their own thinking on things. One was Barry Goldwater and the other was George McGovern. Though they were able to get their party's nominations, history shows how well they did in the general elections--the two biggest defeats in history.
Also, though their positions and ideas were the most popular in their respective parties, after they lost the parties took off in a completely different direction and repudiated everything they stood for.
2007-11-27 05:49:30 · answer #2 · answered by Anonymous · 3⤊ 1⤋
He has no real chance at the nomination at all. His supporters are thrilled because he has gained visibility and poll numbers in New Hampshire in particular. His poll numbers still haven't climbed to more than 8%. It's a good gain for him, but not near enough to make him a real threat. The bottom line is that the Republican powers that be would rather nominate Bugs Bunny than Ron Paul. They simply do not consider him to be one of them, and he will never be seriously considered for the nomination. Nothing against Paul's supporters, that's just reality.
2007-11-27 05:46:07 · answer #3 · answered by Anonymous · 2⤊ 4⤋
Less than zero. He's strictly an internet phenomenon. Yes, he's getting a little more attention because of his internet fund raising, but as soon as voters from both parties get the full range of his positions on things, they will abandon him fast. His position on the war will alienate the republicans and his believe that we don't seen to need taxes to pay for government will convince most independents the guy is insane.
2007-11-27 05:49:32 · answer #4 · answered by Anonymous · 0⤊ 6⤋
People who say he is leading are just wishing he was... he is no where near leading and I don't think he has any chance of winning
2007-11-27 05:44:53 · answer #5 · answered by MissWorld00 2 · 2⤊ 5⤋
Let me answer with a question. Why do slim chance and fat chance mean the same thing?
2007-11-27 05:39:50 · answer #6 · answered by booman17 7 · 3⤊ 4⤋
First he needs to win his parties nomination. That doesn't look too promising!
2007-11-27 05:44:58 · answer #7 · answered by Wounded Duck 7 · 2⤊ 4⤋
3 percent, plus or minus 3 percent.
2007-11-27 05:41:19 · answer #8 · answered by buffytou 6 · 3⤊ 5⤋
this is the first time i heard of him, so I'm gonna say very unlikely, he needs better PR people
2007-11-27 05:45:32 · answer #9 · answered by Anonymous · 2⤊ 4⤋
Did you ever hear about a snowballs chance in hell??
2007-11-27 05:41:32 · answer #10 · answered by fairly smart 7 · 2⤊ 4⤋