Do you think Mariano Rivera will pass Trevor Hoffman?

Question

Mariano is set for 3 more years of closing. He needs 81 saves to catch up. It will be hard for him since Hoffman is still active, but do you think he can do it?

Answer 1

Rivera is 38, Hoffman is 40
Rivera's era this year was significantly higher than his career era, Hoffman's was slightly higher.

Rivera last 4 years in saves are: 53,43,34,30, a significant downward trend.
Hoffman's last 4 years are 41,43,46,42, very consistant.

Hoffman's ERA, ERA+ and Whip are like a kiddy roller coaster, all manageable, but up and down every other year (this year was a high year, which, by trends would suggest a WHIP under 1, an ERA of 2.4 and an ERA + of about 170.

Rivera is facing an uphill battle having his lowest ERA+, highest WHIP and ERA since his rookie year.

Even if you assume that they play the same amount of years, which is not set in stone since Hoffman is still performing, that means Rivera has to save 40 games a year in the two years Hoffman doesn't play and keep pace with him when he does.

I think the chances are slim unless Hoffman retires quickly.

Answer 2

Yes, easily. He's only 80 behind and he still has maybe 3 good yes left. Trevor Hoffman is a good closer, and he's one of the best, but I still believe that Mariano Rivera is the best closer to ever pitch the game. His splitter, and slider are getting him 45 Million this year (hopefully) and those two pitches have also gotten him in so much great places. (2+ World Series's)

Answer 3

When both careers are over I believe Hoffman comes out on top. Rivera will not go +82 on Hoffman with both pitchers still active.

Answer 4

Rivera with out question. i'm no longer even positive Hoffman might want to fall into the properly 5. look on the saves, no longer the kind of saves notwithstanding the accepted of saves. Rivera's saves were extra significant than the different closer in historic past. Rivera has been in extra pennant drives and international sequence playoffs than any of his contemporaries. are you able to call one significant shop by ability of Hoffman that compares to Rivera? the answer is not any! Rivera is the perfect closer in baseball historic past. we ought to continually all experience fortunate that we've been waiting to work out the kind of impressive pitcher.

Answer 5

I doubt it. It depends on how much longer Hoffman stays in the game. If he were to retire in a year or two, then I think Rivera catches up to him.

Answer 6

Yes.
You can't be positive that Hoffman will go aroung again. He was torched in the leadup to the finals and the playoff game. He will be lucky to get 20 saves even if he does play on as he will be on a very short lead. As soon as it looks bad they will now yank him.
I would expect Rivera (barring injuries) averaging 35 saves per year as the base. That gives him at least 105 for the three years.
Two great save guys with only one that has anything left.

Answer 7

No. Rivera isn't as good as he once was(neither is Hoffman)and will probably never save 45 games again. He does have a chance but it's a very slim one and I doubt it will happen.

Answer 8

No or very slim chance an injury to Hoffman is the only foreseeable way.

Answer 9

No, because Hoffman has a nice lead now, and will also pitch 3 more years.

Answer 10

no...Mariano doesn't have the same spark as he used to.(I should know i saw a game where he gave up a god 5 runs to let my team win. He will not last much longer either if u ask me i'd say till the end of his next contract.