.
They state that the temperature on average, will increase 1.98F over the next 100 years, the same rate of increase as we had pre industrialization.
They also state that the sea level will rise 18 centimetres over the next 100 years.
From 3,000 years ago to the start of the 19th century sea level was almost constant, rising at 0.1 to 0.2 mm/yr according to previous UN reports.
0.2mm/yr is 20 centimetres over 100 years.
So in essense, they are saying, that the sea level will rise, less over the next 100 years, than it averaged rising over the last 3,000 years.
But the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is warning that climate change could have "abrupt and irreversible" consequences.
That doesn't make much sense.
Since thier own report, says that golbal temperature and sea level rise over the next 100 years, will be the same as we had pre industrialization.
Yes they also threw in alarming numbers.
2007-11-17
13:34:47
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6 answers
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asked by
zooma
3
in
Politics & Government
➔ Politics
They had a temperature variation of 500% on thier temperature increase estimates over the next 100 years.
They had a variation of 300% on thier sea level rise estimates over the next 100 years.
Forgive me for saying so.
But when I was taking Physics in College.
If I turned in an answer on a test that was +/- 300% or 500%, i'd have recieved a failing grade.
Thats not hard science, thats voodoo.
Why not have two IPCC reports, one with hard science, providing known facts.
And another with estimates that may or may not be backed by facts.
But issuing a report that says, well the sea level may rise at the same rate it has for the last 3,000 years, or it may rise at historical rates, that will flood most of the world coastal cities.
Isn't science, I can read predictions like that in the National Enquirer.
2007-11-17
13:45:20 ·
update #1
EDIT:
No, im not confusing centigrade to fahrenheit.
They add that, by the year 2100, global average surface temperatures could rise by between 1.1 C (1.98 F) and 6.4 C (11.52 F) compared with 1980-99 levels, while sea levels will rise by between 18 and 59 centimetres (7.2 and 23.2 inches), according to the IPCC’s forecast.
2007-11-17
13:51:57 ·
update #2