How long will it take for Iran to get nuclear weapons?

Answer 1

A recent CIA estimate was 5-7 years.

Answer 2

Nixon gave Iran Nuclear Energy in the 70s.
They've had the plants they have since then.
It's not like they don't have Uranium and Plutonium sitting around, because they do. The real question is, why would they choose to use it now when they haven't in the past 30 years? Even against Israel, who's close enough for them to load a briefcase with the stuff and send one of their right-wing Religious nuts over kamakazi-style.

Answer 3

If they are competent 3-5 years to get the material. North Korea after almost 20 years of effort produced a dud, and reportedly Iran is getting help from the North Koreans. I took Pakistan 15 years.

Answer 4

If their people don't riot over the lack of equipment for their agricultural sector because the money has been spent on insurgents in Iraq, Hamas, Hezzbollah and a nuke program, about 2015 they will have something to use a trigger on.

They are about 20 more years away from a viable delivery system unless the Chinese provide them with a heavy bomber or an indirect fire weapon (cannon) that the Israelis can't see. Saddam tried to build one (super gun) with the help of a Canadian astro physicist Gerald V. Bull.

Putin has the capability to offer them a way to miniaturize a device so they could deliver it on a donkey and that would be a whole different set of worries. The extortion capabilities would be enormous.

Answer 5

Iran does not currently have nuclear weapons, and would appear to be about two years away from acquiring nuclear weapons. By some time in 2006, however, Iran could be producting fissile material for atomic bombs using both uranium enriched at Natanz and plutonium produced at Arak. The Natanz facility might produce enough uranium for about five bombs every year, and the Arak facility might produced enough plutonium for as many as three bombs every year.

Iran's nuclear program began in the Shah's era, including a plan to build 20 nuclear power reactors. Two power reactors in Bushehr, on the coast of the Persian Gulf, were started but remained unfinished when they were bombed and damaged by the Iraqis during the Iran-Iraq war. Following the revolution in 1979, all nuclear activity was suspended, though subsequently work was resumed on a somewhat more modest scale. Current plans extend to the construction of 15 power reactors and two research reactors.

Research and development efforts also were conducted by the Shah's regime on fissile material production, although these efforts were halted during the Iranian revolution and the Iran-Iraq war.

The current nuclear program is headed by the President, the commander of the Iranian Revulutionary Gaurd Corps (IRGC), the head of the Defense Industries Organization, and the head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization (IAEO). These leaders continue the pursuit of WMD's and support Chemical, Biological, and Nuclear programs against all pressures from the United States and its allies.

Iran ratified the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty in 1970, and since February 1992 has allowed the IAEA to inspect any of its nuclear facilities. Prior to 2003 no IAEA inspections had revealed Tehran's violations of the NPT.

Since the end of the Iran-Iraq War, Tehran redoubled its efforts to develop weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and ballistic missiles. In addition to Iran's legitimate efforts to develop its nuclear power-generation industry, it is believed to be operating a parallel clandestine nuclear weapons program. Iran appears to be following a policy of complying with the NPT and building its nuclear power program in such a way that if the appropriate political decision is made, know-how gained in the peaceful sphere (specialists and equipment) could be used to create nuclear weapons (dual-use technologies have been sold to Iran by at least nine western companies during the early 1990's). Also, in this atmosphere of deception, unconfirmed reports have been made that Tehran purchased several nuclear warheads in the early 1990's

Answer 6

How do you know they're actually developing? Isn't this more Horse s*it from the resident gobshite in the White House? You know he's spoiling for another war, he won't stop until he's upset the whole of the middle east (but being sure he doesn't upset his Sheikh buddies) and russia. He of course is that baboon, George W Bush, the greatest threat to peace in the world since Adolf Hitler. In any case, even if Iran do somehow manage to develop them, do you honestly think they'll get to keep them?

Answer 7

IF they really want them, maybe in about 15 years, based on arms expert analysts. Considering how much a menace the United States is to the region, I would want a deterrant as well. For the safety of other counrties, America needs to be kept in check. We don't play nice with others.

Answer 8

We have them rocket a go go pretty soon. I work as welder here in Iranz. This week finish the nosescones for pretty ICBMes. Then I help my boss and his drunk Russian friend the scientist lift big big gyroscope for them. After that we carried a big thing to put the big shaft launcher. We was brought it, the Russian guy trip and drop it. He say Oh Sputnik! But then he say Spaziba to me after I help him lift again. Now rocket complete. Project Lancelot Link is a goer. Now North Korean ship dock to go to Caribbean. Lancelot he go find Houston space launch for to make party with Mr. Bush. I tell you but you be good keep good or Russian pig on Iranz soils give me sheets.

Answer 9

No longer than it takes for Russia to truck in a few when
it feels Iran needs them.

Answer 10

You are making an assumption that this is what they are trying to do, Iran has always stated that the are only wanting to develop nuclear power.
Remember we were told that Iraq had WMD and it turned out to be lies

Answer 11

I don't think the Americans care if they do or if they don't get nukes...America will, once again, cook the books and create WMD in any country they wish to invade.
I just hope Britain tells bush where to get off this time.