" The new issue of Arms Control Today offers a perfect microcosm of what's wrong with the missile defense debate, such as it is. Its feature package is a staged set-piece in which all of the players are present in costume: You've got Lt. Gen. Henry A. Obering of the Missile Defense Agency spouting the same old official line; you've got Ellen Tauscher questioning the efficacy of the system but not the wisdom of placing it in Russia's European backyard; and then you've got the bearded eggheads on the sidelines of power who actually understand and can explain why the Russians are freaking. As in an absurdist play, everyone is talking past each other.
There is one clash of specifics that creates a spark or two in the debate. It occurs over the question of whether the interceptor missiles slated for Poland would be capable of catching up with Russia's ICBM's. Argues Lt. Gen. Obering: "
http://new.exile.ru/blog/detail.php?BLOG_ID=13326&AUTHOR_ID=
2007-10-19
18:01:47
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7 answers
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asked by
Anonymous
in
Politics & Government
➔ Politics
U.S. interceptors in Europe cannot catch Russian ICBMs because of the engagement distances and greater speeds of the Russian missiles. The proposed European ground-based interceptors would have no capability to defend the United States from Russian launches. They would be in a hopeless "tail chase" in spite of recent claims to the contrary, which do not account for actual interceptor speeds, tracking times, and several other critical factors.
Not so, says Theodore A. Postol, professor of science, technology and national security at MIT and a former scientific adviser to the Navy. In an essay that argues in detailed favor of Putin's Azerbaijan proposal, Postol claims the following, contra Obering:
2007-10-19
18:02:34 ·
update #1
U.S. interceptors launched from a Polish site could intercept the 18 to 25 Russian SS-25 ICBMs based in Vypolzovo, roughly 340 kilometers northwest of Moscow. Furthermore, missiles launched from all of the other European-based Russian ICBM fields would be much easier to engage. The 40 percent faster speed of the defense interceptors relative to the ICBMs and the early-tracking information provided by the [radar] in the Czech Republic would allow the defense system to engage essentially all Russian ICBMs launched against the continental United States from Russian sites west of the Urals.
Who's right. Heck if I know.
2007-10-19
18:04:30 ·
update #2
But these are the only kinds of questions that can tell us whether the Russians are being as unreasonable as Condi Rice et al. say they are.
2007-10-19
18:05:04 ·
update #3
But what about Russia's missile defense system?
2007-10-19
18:42:56 ·
update #4